If At First You Short A Pump And Dump And Succeed, Try, Try Again!

As I’ve posted HERE and HERE, EDEN was a great pump due to a 100% spike caused by a fluffy inaccurate article written by a major media outlet—my former employer—for a bit—TheStreet.com (they later corrected it, but the damage was already done). The first time I shorted at $2.55, impatiently/conservatively covering at $2.35 for a decent $180 profit. But given its tiny tiny tiny $6 million marketcap and annoying illiquidity, I don’t regret covering quickly…that much…cuz as I’ve shown on fellow microcap pump and dumpers PSTI, REED and SHZ, these suckers remain good shorts for many days.

So, when I re-shorted EDEN mid-day yesterday on a slight low volume bounce up from $2 to $2.20, I had every confidence in the world we’d see $2 again and then the question would be if there were stop losses there—as often happens at big fat round numbers. Despite some ever surprisingly determined buyers and a solidly bearish close at $2.04—caused by a 49,000 share sell order—I was even more confident of a big drop today.  

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When Timmayyy Is Dead Right: Manipulated Stocks Go Boom!

For the 3 most recently manipulated microcraps—CNOA (pumped by a CNBC “reporter” who mistook paid-for stock promotion for credible research, probly the result of majoring in theatre studies in college (seriously)), EDEN (agriculture product pumped by a TheStreet.com “journalist” who forgot to read the quarterly report mentioning they sold off that division!) and TIGR (I don’t wanna know the evil lurking behind that pump, possibly some SEC counter-intelligence subdivision trying to draw out fellow manipulators) I have been dead on. These are opportunities from which you can profit because I’m not talking about variables that indirectly affect stock prices (ie earnings, the economy)—no, these catalysts have a direct impact on the supply/demand of shares and consequently the stock price.

Since my expose when it was at $1.80ish, CNOA has dropped 30% in a few days—longs, don’t blame me or say “I don’t get it, it had all the trends going in its favor, I guess penny stocks really are just like gambling?!?!” Hello no, this kind of price action is the precise opposite of random, it’s motherf$#@en PennyStocking—learn to play the game or suffer the consequences!

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How To Short Sell A Media-Sponsored Pump & Dump

I went into today thinking I wouldn’t trade cuz they were no ideal setups. But when $23,000-in-revenue-joke-of-a-company-TheStreet.com-pump-and-dump (EDEN) became a big 2-day runner, my market inefficiency sense kicked in and I immediately reserved 1,000 shares to short, just in case it might show signs of reversal. By 11am, it was up 40% on the day in the $2.60 range, and while there were some big buy blocks just below at $2.55 and $2.50, the sellers were persistent. This is what I call “a wall of sellers” and when stocks are up big already on little to no news with fading volume, this wall signals the end of any runup, at least usually.

Sure, sometimes the wall collapses and the stock surges, but since TheStreet.com’s article was factually inaccurate and it’d already proven three times over the past 2 days it couldn’t break $2.75, I figured it’d be better to be early than late as I’d just try to double up if it went higher.

When some sellers came in to try to take out the big 10k buy block at $2.55, I could stand aside no longer, shorting into that block and posting my findings HERE. Sometimes when a big buy block gets taken out, it signals an immediate panic, but even with my rather harsh article, that didn’t happen here. For an hour or so, it went slightly higher to $2.65, but I held, convinced my argument was sound. 3 hours later, the stock was only down to $2.30ish and buyers held strong—after all, my blog doesn’t have anywhere near the traction of TheStreet.com, so the truth doesn’t really matter…yet.  

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Hard To Borrow Stocks: Short Sell What You Can, Only When Key Prices Are Breached

All of a sudden there’s a ton of crap stocks looking perfect for PennyStocking: (AGEN), (COT), (PSTI), (GBRC.PK), (CNOA.OB) and (NCEN.OB). Why then did I choose only to short PSTI…because it was the only one with borrowable shares!

As I posted towards the end of THIS post, PSTI’s pattern is the EXACT chart pattern that made me a millionaire by age 22 and it’s why TIM is up now 46% since November 2007. Can’t short more than 10,000-30,000 shares (this time around at least, liquidity willing you can sometimes get up to 100,000 shares), but ideal for smaller traders/investors in the $2k-$100k account size.  

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How To Predict 10% Daily Price Moves With Relative Ease: PennyStocking!

Some will argue that my top 3 weekend stocks to watch moving 10%+ in the direction I thought they would proves nothing. After all, maybe my blog is simply popular enough to help these patterns become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

But when you throw in a decade of me making millions of dollars off these EXACT kinds of chart patterns, it’s hard not to believe that they are PREDICTABLE! Because they are shining examples of the plays on which my instructional DVD PennyStocking focuses. So just get it so I don’t have to explain/mention as often! That might’ve been rude…whatever, be cheap, sign up to my RSS feed and try to piece everything together.

Enough blabbing, let’s talk shop:

Top Weekend Pick: Short (SYNM)—I’d hope to short into another full day of gains, but the weak open (double top at $1.25ish) coupled with sad volume meant it was gonna tank, either hard or soft, no way of knowing…so when it went negative on the day, taking out big block buys at $1.21 and $1.20 and within seconds it dropped to $1.15, I thought’d I missed it…luckily the optimists bounced it back to $1.20 and I shorted 3,000 shares there around 10am…barely getting all my shares before it fell back to $1.16 x $1.17

Then the real question: could it take out now 2-day support at $1.15…didn’t look good for an hour or so…lots of big buys…but there wasn’t any bouncing higher so I held—not content to make 3-4 cents/share. Right before 11am, $1.15 fell hard, stop losses took out $1.12, then $1.10, then $1.07!!!! Gotta love buying into those automated sell orders, it’s like surfing a wave, covered at $1.07, $370 gain, 11% on my money inside an hour…rest of the day irrelevant, not up enough—nor could I risk my precious day trades—to bet for a fall under $1 although odds are slightly for it. Next!

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How To Make 8% Returns Before Lunch

As I noted on Thursday, REED is my ideal kind of play—morning spikes, then sideways action, fades or plunges. No different from other recent microcrap runners SHZ (best to short on the 3rd, 4th and 5th days), DARA (3rd-4th days) and VION (3rd-4th days).

On Friday, I really nailed it—expecting a morning short squeeze (due to Thursday inability to fade/late strength)…awoke early to reserve shares, got all I asked for, 1,000 shares…liked the opening strength to the $4.75 range, but wanted more…damn big block sellers prevented the path to $5 (at which there’s big-time resistance)…volume wasn’t very impressive, so when a 3,000 share buy order bid at $4.75 (sellers were at $4.85, 87, 90, 93, 95, 99), I shorted into it…it got taken out quickly…encouraging…within minutes sellers came down and put pressure on the bidders around $4.50-$4.60.

Extremely bearish for a microcrap momo play to fail to truly spike on the 3rd day of a runup, longs get scared, rightfully so…situations like these, I should stay short as long as possible, but considering strength from the day before, the illiquidity and large price spread…oh yeah and a lunch meeting…I just want to take profits—preferably more than the $65 I made on Thursday (screwing up an easy $300ish gain).  

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36 Hours In The Life Of A Trading Addict

TIM $15,220, Up $485, An Ugly Way To Make An All-Time High

2/14: Get 2 hours of sleep from a late night of writing/researching potential plays, wake up at 7am for a 9am filming with CBS Sunday Morning. I’ll miss the morning trading session, but this is too big to pass up. Forget the 200k-ish people watching CNBC, this show boasts 5+ million weekly viewers!!

They want to talk about neuroeconomics, aka the science behind making money and the addictiveness of profits/high I get when I make a teacher’s annual salary in a few hours. Sure, I said. Only problem was they want to film at my apartment and it’s being cleaned today due to the massive amount of soot from last week’s building fire. Luckily, one of my friends volunteers his sweet place on the UWS—perfect. See some pics:

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I Have The Dark Gift: Why I’m Better At Shorting Than Buying

TIM $14,735, Down $253

After posting some potential plays and declaring I’d play none of them because of all media/speaking (the stuff that actually helps pay the bills while TIM is soooo tiny…for now) I’ve got to do, two plays acted nicely, so I couldn’t help but jump in.

First up, I shorted 1,000 shares of Spacehab (SPAB) at $2.10. I had looked to enter around $1.80, but wisely did not as it spiked above $2, squeezing several early short sellers.

TIM Lesson: Never short into a stock just because you think it’ll go lower, wait for the price action to give you the best possible entry.
 

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