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Another Small Cap Stock Trader With a 70%+ Winning Percentage

Posted by Timothy Sykes on Tue 2nd of Feb, 2010 03:00:57 PM

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Quite often you see me bragging about my rack record and when an academic site like CXO Advisory does a great rundown on the merits of my strategy, but much more do I enjoy learning about how my PennyStocking DVD students and subscribers to my now 4 newsletters perform…

First there’s this pretty chart of one of my students up $100,000ish (now he’s over $120,000 in profits)

And of course there was the account performance chart of this TIMalert subscriber up $23,000+

Now thanks to this new post, we discover there’s yet another one of my students who is up solidly, if not hugely (started with a small account, stuck under the PDT rule):

His winning percentage is just over 72% compared to my 75%…pretty telling methinks.

I have been trading using methods taught by Sykes (with some of my own little tweaks here and there) since I started this blog in June 2008. However, I never really kept track of my performance using his system. Back in September of 2009, I discovered that the TradePerformance Lite software, which I use to track my trades, has the ability to break performance down by different trading strategies. So, starting September 18th of 2009, I started categorizing my trades into various strategies, including different strategies taught by Sykes. These strategies include: buying breakouts (separated into morning and afternoon), shorting over-extended run-ups (separated into both morning and afternoon), shorting pump and dumps, and his TIMalerts service.

I have been experimenting with a variety of trading strategies, but so far, Sykes’s system has by far been the best performing for me. In fact, my Interactive Brokers account, in which about 90% of my trades have been in Sykes’s style, is now up 76% since April of last year, and I’m hampered by the pattern day trading rule in that account.

winningpercentage Another Small Cap Stock Trader With a 70%+ Winning Percentage

Here are the statistics for the trades. You can see my overall trade win % is 72.3%, and my ratio of gains to losses is 3.69. At one point I had 17 winning trades in a row, and I’ve only had 6 losers in a row. One thing to keep in mind about the TradePerformance software is that if you scale in and out of positions like I do, it will count those as separate trades. For example, in my last SIRI trade, I scaled in at 0.795, 0.8101, and 0.802, and then took my profits at 0.8593 and 0.857. TradePerformance counted this as 3 winning trades. So my 17 winning trades in a row is not going to be 17 winning positions in a row….it will be less than that.

Another thing to keep in mind is that these stats don’t include trades where I broke my trading rules. The reason I keep trading statistics is to know if there is an edge to a particular strategy. However, if I break a trading rule that is related to a particular strategy, then it’s not the fault of the strategy….it’s my own fault.

tradedata Another Small Cap Stock Trader With a 70%+ Winning Percentage

Convinced yet? These success stories will keep coming, especially since my #1 rule is to cut losses quickly, making it rather difficult to mess up much.

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