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AI Headlines, Inflation + Tariffs: What Traders Should Zoom in On

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Written by Timothy Sykes

This market is still full of opportunity — and just as much distraction. Between the AI headlines, crypto hype, rate speculation, and nonstop tariff talk, it’s easy to lose focus.

But for traders who know what to look for, this environment is a gift.

The key is understanding how big-picture themes create price action — and how that price action shows up in small caps, former runners, and sympathy plays. It’s not about predicting the Fed or believing every AI headline. It’s about knowing when the crowd overreacts, when a story triggers a spike, and when you’ve got a setup that’s in your trading wheelhouse.

If you want to know what I’m looking for—check out my free webinar here!

In this article:

  • Inflation’s Next Move
  • Apple’s Slow AI Climb
  • Tesla’s Robotaxi Reality
  • Circle’s Overheated IPO
  • Amazon’s AI Efficiency Play
  • US-China Tensions
  • Carvana as a Short Watch
  • Bitcoin’s Bold Forecast

Inflation’s Heating Back Up

UBS strategist Evan Brown didn’t sugarcoat it. “We should enjoy this print while we can,” he said, warning that core CPI is likely to rise above 3% again thanks to tariffs.

This kind of inflation spike doesn’t always crash markets — but it does increase volatility. Brown also expects a weaker dollar as growth slows, which historically benefits U.S. multinationals and metals.

If you’re a trader, that means staying alert for big swings around CPI data and watching for strength in commodity and export names.

What to watch: inflation data reactions, metals plays, weak-dollar themes

Apple Is Still in the AI Game — Just Slower

Apple’s WWDC didn’t blow people away, but that doesn’t mean they’re behind. Bank of America’s Wamsi Mohan explained it best: “They delivered what they needed to deliver while showing that they’re still very relevant to the AI at the edge roadmap.”

Apple’s AI strategy is privacy-first and hardware-based, which makes it slower — but potentially stronger in the long run. Mohan noted that Apple could tap into “about $1 trillion” in new market opportunities over time.

For traders, this isn’t about chasing Apple itself. It’s about watching for overreactions and sympathy moves in smaller AI names tied to mobile, security, or edge computing.

More Breaking News

What to watch: AI sympathy trades, especially mobile hardware and developer platforms

US-China Trade Drama Is Still Driving Headlines

Shazad Kazi of China Beige Book summed it up well: “This is a very shaky truce at best.” The U.S. needs China’s rare earths. China wants access to high-end chips. That dynamic isn’t going away.

Any movement in the talks — good or bad — can jolt stocks in semiconductors, EVs, or rare earth sectors. Don’t forget, these headlines often hit premarket, which creates fast-moving gaps.

Also worth noting: China’s stimulus is mostly going to production, not consumers. That matters for which sectors benefit — think materials and industrials, not retailers.

What to watch: volatility in rare earths, EV names, and chip stocks with China exposure

Tesla’s Robotaxi Reveal Carries Real Risk

Some investors are hyped for Tesla’s upcoming robotaxi updates — but the analysts are sounding more cautious. “The valuation has got ahead of itself,” one said, citing rollout delays, rising competition, and technical challenges.

Also worrying: talent is leaving, and insiders are selling. That’s never a great sign when expectations are already priced in.

This isn’t a short call on Tesla. But it’s a reminder that overhyped stories can backfire fast — especially when expectations are this high and the execution isn’t immediate.

What to watch: failed breakout setups, sympathy EV fades, robotaxi-related suppliers

Bitcoin Bulls Are Back — But Watch the Setup

Michael Saylor’s new forecast? Bitcoin up “30% a year on average for the next 20 years.” He’s so confident he just raised another billion dollars to buy more through his company, Strategy.

But that’s not a short-term trade — it’s a long-term thesis with major risk. Don’t let the hype make you chase sloppy charts. Let the setups come to you.

Bitcoin’s still outperforming everything over time. But unless you’ve got a clean breakout or panic dip, patience is key.

What to watch: clean breakouts in BTC-related stocks, ETF flows, and crypto miners

Circle’s IPO Looks Overheated

Circle, the company behind the USDC stablecoin, had one of the hottest IPOs this year. But as Jim Cramer put it: “I like Circle. I’m having trouble getting to this price.”

The company’s financials are solid, but the stock ran 160% right out of the gate. That’s unsustainable in most cases — especially when insiders are selling and retail is chasing.

Traders should watch for overreaction, a sharp pullback, and potential bounce setups once the froth clears.

What to watch: panic dip buys, crypto platform sympathy trades, volume-based reversals

Amazon’s AI Investment Isn’t Flashy — It’s Profitable

While other tech companies hype AI features, Amazon is using AI to save money. They’re applying it in warehouses, logistics, and delivery — and Gene Munster thinks that could push operating margins to 15%.

Amazon’s not just testing robot arms anymore — they’re already operating with nearly a million of them. This is the kind of story that builds quietly and shows up in earnings later.

What to watch: steady strength in Amazon, AI robotics plays, logistics tech runners

The Short Watch of the Week: Carvana

Legendary short seller Jim Chanos is short Carvana again — and for good reason. “The company is still losing money,” he said. Most of their profits are from selling subprime loans, not used cars.

Even worse: insiders are dumping stock aggressively. That’s a sign of potential weakness, and with short interest at multi-year lows, there’s room for downside if the stock slips.

This isn’t just about Carvana — it’s a reminder to watch for bloated valuations and insider selling across other consumer lenders or online auto platforms.

What to watch: Carvana fades, sympathy weakness in auto loan stocks

Final Thoughts

This isn’t the time to be distracted. It’s the time to be prepared.

Everything in this watchlist connects back to one core idea: market narrative creates volatility, and volatility creates opportunity. Whether it’s inflation data, AI progress, or macro tension with China, each of these stories is moving prices.

But don’t just trade the headline — trade the setup. Stick to the patterns. Wake up early. Watch the biggest percent gainers. And let the market show you where it wants to go.

Want an edge? My team and I have developed XGPT — an AI tool that helps identify high-odds trading setups faster than any human could. In markets this fast, every second matters.

Whether you like it or not, AI is part of modern trading. Other traders are already using it, shouldn’t you?



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* Results are not typical and will vary from person to person. Making money trading stocks takes time, dedication, and hard work. There are inherent risks involved with investing in the stock market, including the loss of your investment. Past performance in the market is not indicative of future results. Any investment is at your own risk. See Terms of Service here

The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

Millionaire Media 66 W Flagler St. Ste. 900 Miami, FL 33130 United States (888) 878-3621 This is for information purposes only as Millionaire Media LLC nor Timothy Sykes is registered as a securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. No information herein is intended as securities brokerage, investment, tax, accounting or legal advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any company, security or fund. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes cannot and does not assess, verify or guarantee the adequacy, accuracy or completeness of any information, the suitability or profitability of any particular investment, or the potential value of any investment or informational source. The reader bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes in no way warrants the solvency, financial condition, or investment advisability of any of the securities mentioned in communications or websites. In addition, Millionaire Media LLC and Timothy Sykes accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this information. This information is not intended to be used as the sole basis of any investment decision, nor should it be construed as advice designed to meet the investment needs of any particular investor. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns.

Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”