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Quantum Computing Stocks Tumble, What’s Next?

Matt MonacoAvatar
Written by Matt Monaco

Rigetti Computing Inc. is under market pressure as reports highlight operational challenges amidst broader industry concerns, and on Thursday, Rigetti Computing Inc.’s stocks have been trading down by -3.54 percent.

Market Analysis

  • Reports revealed that Rigetti Computing Inc. faces scrutiny over allegations of misleading business info, leading to a steep 45% drop in shares following insights from Nvidia’s CEO on quantum computing’s long-term prospects.
  • Nvidia’s assertion that viable quantum computers might still be two decades away has caused a downturn across quantum tech stocks, affecting Rigetti Computing’s dramatic fall in market value.
  • Significant decline in Rigetti Computing’s shares accompanied by Rosen Law Firm launching an investigation into potential securities claims due to purportedly misleading statements.
  • A variety of quantum computing firms, including Rigetti, saw their stocks plunge significantly due to newly disclosed skepticism about the immediate applicability of quantum computing technology.
  • Stock values of Rigetti, along with Quantum Computing and IonQ, suffered heavily post-Nvidia’s CEO statement, suggesting that widespread quantum computing application is far into the future.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 17:20:18 EST: On Thursday, February 06, 2025 Rigetti Computing Inc. stock [NASDAQ: RGTI] is trending down by -3.54%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Rigetti’s Financial Overview

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It’s a tough season for Rigetti Computing. Dealing with a mammoth drop in stock prices, the depths of the financial challenges unfolding around it are staggering. Recently, Nvidia’s CEO threw a shadow over the quantum computing sector, leading Rigetti’s market value to fall deeply. One might suggest this feels like the calm before the storm, a brewing tempest fueled by speculations and tangible realizations.

A look into Rigetti’s latest earnings shows a complex web. Their financial metrics paint a rather troubling picture: the EBIT and EBITDA margins show a sharp decline, dipping below zero, signaling losses even before taxes and financing are considered. Revenue reports indicate a slow tick upward at $12.01M, although the pricier valuations hint at an arduous path to profitability. In simpler terms, the cost of bringing in every dollar of revenue seems disproportionately high.

A stark observation is Rigetti’s gross margin sitting at a healthy 60.6%, an indicator that the cost of producing its services stays competently low compared to its sales. However, investors viewing Rigetti might worry about apparent net losses and sluggish growth forecasts, bespeaking struggles at balancing operating expenses with its earnings.

More Breaking News

The cash flow details punctuate the problem. The operating cash flow is a negative number, indicating that their core business costs outstrip inbound cash. And despite strategic shifts in investments shown by moves like the Sale Of Short-Term Investments, a notable net negative from CashFlow shows fiscal pressure points. Significant cash outflows might signify stress, especially if the proceeds falter when weighed against its long-term financial obligations.

A Dive into Stock Price Movements

Shares drop sharply, a commanding fall in value caused by an amalgamation of news-induced speculation and general market mood shifts. Comment feeds buzz with opinions, fraught with concern about the longevity practices. The core issue that people can’t seem to overlook is Nvidia’s CEO’s statement—an echo resonating intensely throughout the industry. Market sentiment, volatile as it is, often drives the wild swings seen here of late.

But why does this statement cause such a stir? Quantum computing holds a glittering promise for transformative scientific breakthroughs, yet when industry giants hint at delayed realizations, investors re-evaluate investment timelines. The past few weeks’ chart patterns—reminiscent of a heart rate monitor during a thriller—reveal more inclines than an alpine climb, reflecting the company’s struggle to maintain its foothold amongst contemporary market dynamics.

Despite that atmospheric drop, recent trading patterns provide some respite. An uptick in buying pressure hints at a segment of investors seeing value at a depreciated cost. Financial analysts grapple with calling a bottom, showing risk for further declines but also potential long-term value should the quantum industry find its stride.

Coupling this news with existing worries over operational efficacy lays more bricks on the speculation road. The eerie tale is woven: headline pressure meets fiscal reality. Investors at this juncture might debate whether to hold onto or release their shares as the swirling storm raises questions of judgment and strategic re-evaluation.

Concluding Thoughts

In a world where economic combat depicts tales of resilience and adaptation, Rigetti’s current path might seem treacherous. Pressures mount on both news fronts and financial reportage, creating an environment rife with challenges but not entirely devoid of opportunity. Traders are reminded of the importance of agility and flexibility in the market as millionaire penny stock trader and teacher Tim Sykes, says, “You must adapt to the market; the market will not adapt to you.” Analysts suggest a wait-and-watch approach as developments unfold.

Current market movements paint a complex picture; hints of potential recovery are offset by overarching concerns about the sector’s overall health and future utility. It becomes necessary to keep a keen eye on how the sector navigates the choppy waters ahead.

As always, stock market fortunes fluctuate based on perceptions, realities, and emerging narratives. Rigetti finds itself in the center of one such tale, awaiting the next chapter where hopes merge with financial aspirations in the grand arena of quantum technology.

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The available research on day trading suggests that most active traders lose money. Fees and overtrading are major contributors to these losses.

A 2000 study called “Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors” evaluated 66,465 U.S. households that held stocks from 1991 to 1996. The households that traded most averaged an 11.4% annual return during a period where the overall market gained 17.9%. These lower returns were attributed to overconfidence.

A 2014 paper (revised 2019) titled “Learning Fast or Slow?” analyzed the complete transaction history of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1992 and 2006. It looked at the ongoing performance of day traders in this sample, and found that 97% of day traders can expect to lose money from trading, and more than 90% of all day trading volume can be traced to investors who predictably lose money. Additionally, it tied the behavior of gamblers and drivers who get more speeding tickets to overtrading, and cited studies showing that legalized gambling has an inverse effect on trading volume.

A 2019 research study (revised 2020) called “Day Trading for a Living?” observed 19,646 Brazilian futures contract traders who started day trading from 2013 to 2015, and recorded two years of their trading activity. The study authors found that 97% of traders with more than 300 days actively trading lost money, and only 1.1% earned more than the Brazilian minimum wage ($16 USD per day). They hypothesized that the greater returns shown in previous studies did not differentiate between frequent day traders and those who traded rarely, and that more frequent trading activity decreases the chance of profitability.

These studies show the wide variance of the available data on day trading profitability. One thing that seems clear from the research is that most day traders lose money .

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Citations for Disclaimer

Barber, Brad M. and Odean, Terrance, Trading is Hazardous to Your Wealth: The Common Stock Investment Performance of Individual Investors. Available at SSRN: “Day Trading for a Living?”

Barber, Brad M. and Lee, Yi-Tsung and Liu, Yu-Jane and Odean, Terrance and Zhang, Ke, Learning Fast or Slow? (May 28, 2019). Forthcoming: Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=2535636”

Chague, Fernando and De-Losso, Rodrigo and Giovannetti, Bruno, Day Trading for a Living? (June 11, 2020). Available at SSRN: “https://ssrn.com/abstract=3423101”