Summer is coming. There’s a saying about the stock market: “Sell in May and go away.” I’ll explain what that means later in this post.
Everything I do is possible because of my early passion for the stock market. Learning to trade set me free. I want to be your teacher, and the best way I know is with the Trading Challenge. Make every day count: apply today.
When I say all that I do comes from trading, I mean ALL that I do. If I’d never learned to trade penny stocks I probably wouldn’t be making the following announcement. ..
Table of Contents
- 1 “Save the Reef” Documentary Release Date: June 13
- 2 Questions from Trading Challenge Students
- 2.1 “Do you think the so-called ‘10,000-hour rule’ applies to learning to trade? Please give advice on what percentage of time I should study versus actual trading.”
- 2.2 “What’s the biggest lesson you have from a recent trade?”
- 2.3 “In a video lesson, you said your $SMRT trade was well executed. The joint press release by Stein Mart and Amazon was another example of the big company executive praising the small company. Would you please discuss this trade?”
- 3 Millionaire Mentor Market Wrap
“Save the Reef” Documentary Release Date: June 13
I’m super excited about this and it’s extremely important! The “Save the Reef” documentary premieres in Hawaii on June 13. It will also be available on YouTube. I’ll mention this several times between now and then. Please share the information.
Social media — for all the negative press in the last year — can truly change the world for the better. But only if we use it.
Please go right now and subscribe to Save the Reef. We’re creating a movement. The upcoming documentary isn’t a one-off … it’s only the beginning.
…now you can support the cause by buying a Save the Reef t-shirt. Go to the Save the Reef site and click on the Help the Cause button. (Or just follow the link, which takes you to the Save the Reef collection on Karmagawa.)
I’ve been in Japan recently. I can’t give full details now, but we’re working with several fashion brands. The goal is to partner with them on charity collaborations.
Now, let’s get to some trading updates…
Questions from Trading Challenge Students
“Do you think the so-called ‘10,000-hour rule’ applies to learning to trade? Please give advice on what percentage of time I should study versus actual trading.”
I don’t know the exact number. People try to game numbers…
“How many hours did I study? Who’s the most dedicated student on Profitly?”
It’s not about hours. You have to learn the lessons. People learn differently and it’s a very inexact science. The 10,000 number was made popular by a book. But even the author of the book says people get it wrong — check it out.
I can tell you this…
All my top students have ONE thing in common: they’ve been the most dedicated students.
For example, Mark Croock watched all my video lessons three times. He’s the one who categorized and organized them. He added all the different tags.
Then there’s Steven Dux…
I thought he was a hacker because he was on Profitly studying video lessons and DVDs so much. He makes a joke that he was even studying on the toilet. That’s how much he’s studying. In between trading and eating, he’s studying.
Roland was studying 15–17 hours a day for the first year. All while trading and learning. Now he’s almost reached a huge milestone. I’ll tell you more about Roland in a future post.
Those are just three examples — I could go on. The point is, I wouldn’t put a specific number on it. Here’s the answer…
Watch everything on Profitly. Watch every video lesson, webinar, and DVD. Watch them more than once.
And stop trying to cheat success! People want to watch the videos at two times speed. Watch them at half speed, OK? The education we have here is so unique, so potentially life-changing … but you have to take it seriously.
So watch. But don’t just watch, do this:
- Take notes.
- Learn the rules.
- Learn the patterns and setups in Pennystocking Framework and Pennystocking Framework Part Deux.
- Learn the Sykes Sliding Scale to evaluate potential stocks to trade.
- Create a watchlist and a trading plan.
- Use StocksToTrade to practice.
- Take it seriously.
How long will it take you to get good? Will it take 10,000 hours? Maybe. Remember, that number was debunked. We’re all different. Anyone can go through the motions for 10,000 hours and not progress beyond a certain point. You have to have focus. Focus is more about intent than the number of hours.
Want to know the big problem? Most people aren’t willing to put in the time regardless of the number of hours, days, weeks, months, or years. Stop trying to cheat success. And stop trying to turn it into an exact science.
Make a decision you’re going to do it and then do it. Then it doesn’t matter how long it takes. What matters is your intention, desire, and dedication. Make every hour of your study count. Focus. Pay attention. Set the intention that you’ll focus for 30 minutes or an hour. Then get up for a few minutes and stretch. Come back and hit it again.
“What’s the biggest lesson you have from a recent trade?”
The biggest lesson is that I’m not trading as much right now. Remember the saying from the top of this post?
“Sell in May and go away.”
It’s the first half of an old English saying: “Sell in May and go away, and come on back on St. Leger’s Day.”
Historically, London traders, bankers, and aristocracy left the city for the summer. They sold everything in their portfolio and held a cash position. Now it’s a well-known adage in the financial world.
Statistically, the stock market isn’t as good in May, June, July … all the way through October. That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t trade. There are years when it’s wrong. Especially since 2013. And … since what I teach is day trading, you can still trade during the six months from May to October.
But consider trading a little less. I’m being a little more picky. I was trying to dip-buy KBLB, like, a dozen times and it didn’t bounce properly. So I am still trying. I’m testing. But I’m not finding success so I minimize trading.
You can do the same. Take smaller position sizes and be more conservative when you don’t see anything truly great. Build self-discipline into your trading. These statistically slower months are a good time for that.
“In a video lesson, you said your $SMRT trade was well executed. The joint press release by Stein Mart and Amazon was another example of the big company executive praising the small company. Would you please discuss this trade?”
I went up against two of my top students, Michael Goode and Mark Croock, in the chat room. And it’s OK to disagree. This is the beauty of trading — nobody knows for sure if they’re right.
I saw Stein Mart, Inc (NASDAQ: SMRT) partner with Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) in this press release. Even if it’s a fluff deal that doesn’t bring in a lot of money, it can be a catalyst for big price action. SMRT is a former runner partnering with Amazon. It’s a big, big, big credibility boost. Especially for a company that’s near bankrupt.
Here’s the 5-year chart:
Now take a look at a 10-day chart. I thought it could run based on the press release. And it did:
I still underestimated it, but I was right on track. I was right in that moment. Michael Goode and Mark Croock were right eventually. It faded on days two, three, and four. But for an entire 24 hours, it performed nicely.
Here’s the chart showing where I entered and exited:
The key to my success on this trade wasn’t chasing the initial spike but waiting for the dip. Then, I wasn’t greedy. I took the single, selling near the day high when it failed a convincing breakout. I knew it could keep spiking if it took out the day high at $1.30, but volume wasn’t as much as I’d like so I played it safe. About 10 minutes later the stock did take out the day high with increased volume.
The lesson: it’s not just about how the stock will do in the long run. It’s good to remember former runners, spiking on big volume, with a seemingly solid catalyst. In other words, can it spike in the short-term based on what’s happening?
Sometimes you see these short squeezes of absolutely terrible companies. And yes, they’re still terrible companies in the long run. But because they’re so heavily shorted, they can run further than you think.
Soliton, Inc (NASDAQ: SOLY) is an example happening as I write. This week they announced a tattoo removal device. This is very easy to picture — a very useful device. And the stock went from the $6s to $29 in two days because a lot of short sellers are shorting too soon.
Here’s the SOLY chart:
I’ve talked about this a lot in recent video lessons. (Join the Trading Challenge or subscribe to Profitly for access.) There are a lot of wannabe shorts. Mainly because of my teachings and how popular they’ve become. And also because a lot of my top students are short sellers.
But a lot of newbies don’t know the nuances. They’re not putting in the hours. Which brings us full circle to the question about the number of hours you need to study. Learn the lessons — however long it takes! If you don’t, you’ll learn lessons the hard way. The whole point of the Trading Challenge is that you won’t have to learn by losing big.
So newbies don’t study enough … they short anything that’s up. They usually lose a lot or even blow up their account. Which is why a lot of the biggest short sellers are NOT on Profitly. They don’t want to talk about their losses. They don’t want to be transparent about their blow-ups.
But you can see their social media and you can see their chat rooms. Here’s a tip: Use StocksToTrade and the Twitter feed tool. You can see newbie shorts are creating a lot of these squeezes. It’s good if you’re long-biased right now. Very scary if you’re short-biased.
Millionaire Mentor Market Wrap
That’s another one in the books. Remember, head over to Save the Reef and join the mailing list. We still haven’t had time to build out the site as we’re so busy completing the documentary. But it will get done. This is important work, and we need your help.
Apply for the Trading Challenge today. It’s the most complete set of educational tools I can offer. And it grows weekly as we add webinars, video lessons, and more. Don’t bother if you’re not ready to work your tail off. But if you are ready … now’s the time.
Are you a trader? What’s the biggest lesson you’d like to share from a recent trade? New to trading? What did you learn from this post that you can use today? I love to hear from all my readers, so comment below!