Blog Archives:
Now That They’re Dead, 5 Things You Coulda Done With Fannie Mae (FNM) & Freddie Mac (FRE)
Posted by Timothy Sykes on Sat 6th of Sep, 2008 03:46:02 PM
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Now that it looks like these monstrosities are being put to death by the government (see article HERE), it’s fun to write in hindsight…here were your options:
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Why Rodman & Renshaw Capital Group Inc. (RODM) Just Telemarketed The Wrong Blogger
Posted by timothysykes on Wed 13th of Aug, 2008 12:38:23 PM Sponsor Offer:
When David blah blah blah (the guy’s name was lost to me laughing outloud) of Rodman & Renshaw phoned me this morning to let me in on his “upcoming dealflow”, do you think he realized he was trying to pitch scammy PIPE deals (usually toxic financing for only the worst of companies that can’t raise $ any other way) to a blogger who focuses on short selling the very piece of crap companies he looks to hype as “greatly undervalued assets” or “tremendous opportunities”?
When Rodman & Renshaw
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American Beauty: Two Stocks Exemplifying Perfect Technical Breakdowns
Posted by timothysykes on Mon 7th of Jul, 2008 07:43:41 PM Sponsor Offer:
You know me, I prefer trading frauds and pump and dumps to real companies, especially real financial companies, especially really f#!$ed financial companies, but I can’t help but appreciate the perfect charts on Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE).
These companies are moving based off news, financing, possible collapse, blah blah, blah…go watch CNBC, it bores me…but notice how the panic really set in when they both took out their March lows.
This is what I’m talking about when I say I want to short into lower lows, whether that appears on an intraday, daily or monthly basis, preferably altogether as that’s when there are stop losses galore getting taken out simultaneously, or at least within a few minutes of each other, and if you’re a short seller, it’s like riding a giant wave, a big ass wave of computer generated sell orders!
Behold the Mona Lisa for short sellers:
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Why I Shorted Turd Of A Company PokerTek, Inc. (PTEK)
Posted by timothysykes on Sun 8th of Jun, 2008 08:57:05 PM Sponsor Offer:
If you’re familiar with my short-biased PennyStocking trading strategy, or watched the latest episode of LiveStock (in which I detailed this setup), it’s not hard to tell why I shorted 1,000 shares of PokerTek, Inc. (PTEK) at $4.69 right before the market close on Friday.
Not only was Friday its first down day after 5 straight—agonizing for early shorts, opportunistic for later shorts—up-days, after a blatantly-obvious-typically-bankruptcy-coming-type 50% mid-month drop in May, if on Monday we get a morning panic (which seems likely considering Friday’s price action with hugely fading volume due to the gradual realization by bitter long-term shareholders realizing they’d better take this bounce as an opportunity to the hell out and aggressive shorts to get in) that takes out Friday support of $4.50ish making $4 a likely downside target, which if the sellers can take out the probable stop losses there brings up $3.80ish, if you take a look at the reasons for the runup, you’ll see it’s no different than f#@%ed-company-last-chance-at-raising-capital-through-hype-type plays like IPIX, CAFÉ, VION and eerily-similar VRML of the past, all of which had been great piece-of-3-day-old-smelling-dung-type stocks to short into these message-board-rumor-floated-fueled-type plays.
Barrons Is The Latest Old Media Company To Be Proven Obsolete
Posted by timothysykes on Sun 18th of May, 2008 01:15:38 PM Sponsor Offer:
Remember about a month ago when I wrote those 2 posts (HERE and HERE) about the sketchy pig farmers over at Agfeed Industries (FEED)?
Their two financing deals, after a flurry of too-good-to-be-wholly-accurate press releases, set off my probable pump alert and even though I wasn’t playing the stock, I felt the need to warn investors about how the smallcap capital raising game works—basically you spend thousands on PR, giveaway a few percentage points to encourage scummy peddlers (better knowns as brokerage firms) do financings, schedule a bunch of PRs to paint the rosiest picture possible and then raise capital for your crappy biz at inflated prices, preying on investors’ greed as your stock is manipulated to surge higher, making these investors believe they are getting in on the ground floor of some amazing story.
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10 Hot Stocks: Hanging Out With All The Liars, Cheats And Frauds In Penny Stock Purgatory
Posted by timothysykes on Mon 5th of May, 2008 08:40:50 AM Sponsor Offer:
Seeing all the soulless scumbags around me, I can’t help but feel like this guy…name the movie!
LGDI.OB agri is so hot right now, great fluffy PR this morning, this is a solid pump—probly created by those who got cheap shares as disclosed in THIS toxic SEC filing just a few days ago…chart reminds me of NCEN from a few weeks ago—which dropped 40% off its highs, but patterns evolve (that’s right, you can’t just memorize patterns and then trade—you’ll get your ass handed to you, you actually gotta understand the variables that align to create them so you can ADAPT to change, as detailed in my instructional DVD PennyStocking) (welcome to why this niche is different from all others aka my publishing business model)
SUNV.OB Not enough time in the day to explain everything wrong with this company, its all just exemplified by this blatantly misleading press release, an interview for which they paid, no different from the half dozen mentions HERE for which the pumpers paid
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Pirates Pretending To Be Pig Farmers (Seriously)
Posted by timothysykes on Wed 23rd of Apr, 2008 09:45:53 AM Sponsor Offer:
Wow and I thought I liked money—the pig f#@!ers over at Agfeed Industries (FEED) raised another $25mil just 7 days after their first $10 mil plundering financing. The short time span between blatant dilution financings tells us now it’s gonna get interesting, a.) we’re def. gonna see more pig farm acquisitions (no doubt at the typical 2-5x income), which given soaring commodity prices, investors are gonna like (good short-term, but dangerous long-term aka why can they get them so cheap?) and b.) whoever bought these shares is even more motivated to turn this into a Wall Street darling telling clients and paying off/bribing getting others to tell their clients “with the Olympics coming up and food prices soaring, this is how you invest in both trends” (BS generalization).
Other than scalping, the rise is too gradual to warrant any shorting and if done right, this could become a great pump and dump story stock, meaning the potential upside is enormous…so respect the pump, buy if it suits your personality, don’t short too soon and never ever believe the hype. When this thing dies down—and it will eventually die, as 995 out of 1,000 piece of poo companies do (seriously)—its chart will resemble similarly flawed fraudulent microcrap lover of acquisitions ZVUE.
How To Short Sell aka What Is Short Selling
Posted by timothysykes on Sun 20th of Apr, 2008 06:09:26 PM Sponsor Offer:
With all the time I spend scouring the landscape for ideal trades, preaching against random market noise and for disciplined trading, I often forget to explain the bare bones basics. Starting now, this will change—every few days I’ll have a detailed lesson. Today, I write about my all-time favorite trading strategy: short selling, which involves betting on a drop in an investment’s prices.
So, how does this backwards-sounding strategy work? Ever hear the saying “don’t sell yourself short”? That means don’t believe you can’t succeed at something. Well, in short selling, that’s exactly what you’re doing—betting that xyz investment won’t succeed at increasing in value. Whether you’re betting against a stock, currency or commodity, you’re “selling that investment short.”
Short selling is exactly like buying and selling the way that you’re only too familiar with except the order is reversed—you sell before you buy. The old adage “buy low, sell high” still applies, here it’s just “sell high, buy low”. What’s worked for me is to short sell when a stock goes up waaaaay too high waaaay too quickly on waaaay meaningless news and buy it back when reason pushes prices lower, back to reality.
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The SmallCap Pump & Dump Capital Raising Game: AgFeed Industries Inc. (FEED)
Posted by timothysykes on Thu 17th of Apr, 2008 08:45:08 AM Sponsor Offer:
What’s the ultimate goal of publicly-traded smallcap companies? They sell shares when their stock prices surge to raise the most capital possible. This morning, recent high-flyer Chinese pig-farmer (FEED) did just that, becoming the latest victor in the smallcap pump and dump capital raising game, raising a cool $10 million, selling shares at $16, less than 10% below their closing price of $17.40. What are they gonna do with this newfound capital—buy more pig farms of course!
You can look at this two ways—it’s great for the company that they could raise so much $ at such high prices—usually these financing deals are done at much bigger discounts, think 25%+. The capital gives them a shot at true business glory, even if the odds are still decidedly against them. Then again, it’s dilution below market prices—the rich get special deals—so this stock should open lower as poor people sell their shares—wondering how to buy stock 10% below market prices (hint: you either need to give the company a lot of $ or convince them you and your connections can and will pump up their stock price)
Don’t get me wrong, agri stocks are hot and this is a clear chart breakout so I have only two concerns:
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