CHATROOM

Is This The Next Hot Medical Technology Stock?

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Why would I buy a stock so many other traders whom I respect are shorting? Because other traders whom I respect are shorting it…because other traders whom I respect other traders also respect, meaning when people like Lionmaster of TheLion.com short a stock (see my interview with him), his following also shorts…and that following is not as experienced or well funded as he and there’s a chance that if the stock acts against them, they can get squeezed (he’d probly just add to his position).

I know its an abstract concept for a lot of you, I know you’d prefer me to say I bought this stock because it’s a good value…I use the products…blah blah blah, NOOOOO, that strategy is overused and juvenile, Warren Buffett belongs in diapers and probly already is…I want you to test your brains and think outside the box…

As I emailed TIMalert subscribers:

Bought 3000 Speedus Corp (SPDE) at $7.35ish….the stock is up 100%+ today on FDA approval for their interesting heart and lung scanner that can transmit data over the internet to specialist, cool sounding, but more importantly, they already sold a couple of these to the army, meaning a wide rollout is possible…only a $28 million marketcap with ISRG-like revolutionary technology…more importantly, their partner is the giant 3M which means 3M will probly now devote some funding and promotion to this product…stock just tanked from the $8 range it’d been holding all day, but I think shorts get squeezed going into the market close today and a possible morning spike tomorrow…intraday support at $7 is my mental stop, goal is to sell on a true or fakeout breakout in the high $8s tomorrow or Monday…remember LiveStock is tomorrow, we have a lot to talk about!

Now its obviously risky to buy into a stock up 100%, but this FDA approval is meaningful, as is the contract. But what interested me most is how well it held $7/share late day when shorts thought it would just collapse…it didn’t just hold it once, but actually twice (the 2nd dip on made it to the $7.20s)

$7ish now serves as major technical support for this move and despite the stock’s weak close at $7.10, which wasn’t natural but instead huuuuugely manipulated (it was holding nicely in the $7.30-$7.45 area actually about to take out $7.50 at 3:58pm EST when one or a couple of tape painting short sellers used a big ass market order to knock the price down at the very last second (cheap and illegal but common trick, welcome to Wall Street!)

If there’s no gap higher or good short at a morning spike, I’ll just get out and take a 10-20-30 cent/share loss, but if I’m right and the news is important, especially for such a tiny tiny company that basically just got validated marketcap and business-wise all in one day, this could very well squeeze shorts past $8 and possibly even above $9 (although that’d be pushing it)

Yes, I think SPDE might very well tank in the coming weeks, but this technology could be important for the stock, especially since the Army has verrrrry deep pockets and let’s remember another stock that had a product the army wanted very badly (before they didn’t) Force Protection, Inc. (FRPT):

…and another cool medical technology play with a small marketcap Cardica, Inc. (CRDC), which spiked from the low single digits to the teens when they first got approval for their little magic wand (seriously, that’s what it looks like)…yes, SPDE could go double digits before this momentum is over, especially with probable PRs from 3M regarding product funding/promotion and further Army contracts. It all depends on the volume as there aren’t many shares out there so the more days it can trades millions of shares the more likely it spikes and squeezes the shorts.

Let’s see if you see SPDE’s chart similarities as I do with another recently hot medical play, Jazz Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (JAZZ), anybody? anybody? Bueller? Bueller?

Posted in Breakouts, Story Stocks

  • Joe

    Congrats on an awesome quarter.

  • timsykes

    thanks, but i really am just getting started!

  • eric

    Awesome work Tim!

  • Michael

    Tim, what do you usually do on a lazy saturday?
    go out with a hot chick and treat her a nice dinner?

  • Mr Cellular

    F*ing Great Quarter Tim. You are a star for putting your trades online. Glad I found your blog after seeing you on CBS Sunday Morning. ROCK ON! May all your dreams come true.

  • manhack

    Yeah it sucks for someone to make 21% return on a small investment….

  • manhack

    oh and i’m being sarcastic. Good job Tim. I love your site and will continue to follow your trades. My strat will be to utilizer your “coma” technique. Short it and forget it for a week.

  • http://www.dinosaurtrader.blogspot.com Dinosaur Trader

    Fuck Tim and his “performance,” I don’t think he’s finished first in the VO yet..

    Listen, I just realized that the most popular posts are your site aren’t about “pennystocking” but about Elliot Spitzer’s whore. Maybe it’s time to turn this into a porn site or something.

    -DT

  • Joseph

    What are you smoking, manhack? Timmy has no coma technique, what are you talking about? You misinterpreted what he said. You better learn from Tim; take profit and cut losses quicly; and move on to your next target. I wouldn’t short pennystocks and try to forget about them just to maximize profit. You’re asking for trouble, man.

  • timsykes

    Michael never lazy anymore–spent the day writing some educational pieces for a new Yahoo! Finance column….then I went out for a nice dinner :)

    Thanks cellular, manhack

    DT–anybody else in the VO playing around with less than $20k? I doubt it….gimme some time, I assure the $ profits will go up as I bet more

    Edward, I got no problem with u reselling the DVD, but don’t advertise it on my site, try ebay, amazon/craigslist

  • timsykes

    #6 you’re damn right this strategy aint scalable, thank u for looking down on it, snobs like u are why it works so well! remember, good things come in small packages

  • Oliver

    yup, no doubt a great quater for a small account and in general a nice return in profits. but i think penny stocking is a bad comparison to the S&P500, NASDAQ and/or DJI.

    Kepp it up, I think everyone is appreciating your work even the haters because they wouldnt have anything to hate on without you.

  • timsykes

    oliver, if not the major indexes, what could i compare to? its a hedge fund strategy–minus the hedge fund-type scalability–but everybody compares to indexes

  • http://billakanodoodahs.com Bill aka NO DooDahs!

    Tim, you could compare it to an absolute benchmark that you’ve set.

    How about … taking your final goal and deadline time, converting it to a quarterly compounded gain, and measuring the return against that?

    The indices are a joke comparison for everybody — the only applicable time to use the S&P 500 as a benchmark is if you’re confining your trades to the S&P 500 stocks, ditto for Dow or Nasdaq, if you’re not trading entirely inside those indices, there’s no point in using them as a comparison.

  • timsykes

    experience teaches me deadlines and goals are the absolute worst thing a trader can do…gets you to feel ahead/behind and leads you to force trades or become overly conservative…for me, the best way of looking at it is to thin i’ll never make another trade in my entire life–that way i bide my time waiting for worthy opportunities

    the comparison to the indexes is to show the superiority of a niche trading strategy like mine over the path the vast majority of investors take

  • http://www.jeffreymclarty.com/jm McLarty

    Tim, congrats on the great quarter…I’m in the camp that thinks it’s not scalable…but hey, more power to you if you can prove me wrong, you handsomely trounced my 3 month performance, so hats off to you.

    This is the first time I’ve been to your site…got a couple questions for you, they are pretty simple yes/no type questions. I’m humbly curious.

    1. Were you trading mostly long positions, during a great bull market, back when you made your first million from your ~$12000 gift?
    2. Did you mostly make short trades during, the last ~3 months?

  • timsykes

    made my first mil being a naive/lucky buyer of these microcraps, 2nd mil shorting them

    vast majority of my trades ever since–including ALL my big winners–have come from the short side, check out my book for all the details:

    http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0979549701/timothysykes-20

    And yes, its not scalable past a few million, thats why i’ve taken it to the general public…lots of people wanna learn to make a few extra grand/tens of maybe even hundreds of thousands

  • eric

    Tim…your blog about that crazy video on youtube seems to also have boosted your stock! Wow you have tons of haters, but if you have haters, then you must be doing something right because while they’re thinking about you, I know you’re not thinking about them. I cant wait for your new website. I could have sworn I read somewhere on your website that you have a goal of 300M of “F You Money?” Keep up the awesome returns!

  • http://billakanodoodahs.com Bill aka NO DooDahs!

    I thought the recreation of your 12.1K to 1.65M gain in 3 years would be your goal and timeline.

  • timsykes

    haha 12k to 1.65 million is the ultimate goal, but first time it took 4 years….i’ve said in interviews with my newfound conservativism and focus on writings/teaching, it’ll probly take me 10 years…who knows, just take it one trade at a time

  • http://billakanodoodahs.com Bill aka NO DooDahs!

    In ten years, I think that’s +13% a quarter, compounded quarterly. In four years, that’s +36% a quarter, compounded quarterly.

  • Pingback: Just Who The Hell Do I Think I Am And Why Should You Care? | Timothy Sykes - Stock Trader, Author, Entrepreneur

  • Anonymous

    Tim,

    Have you been drinkin’? I love your site but the comment about Buffett was way out of whack. Could have used someone else to make your point but I forgive you (like you care)..ha. Buffett is probably the last guy on the Street with an intact reputation. Hasn’t done bad for himself and his stockholders either over 50 years. Nuff said.

    Only thing I don’t like about your 20 grand pick is that the SEC is on their case about being late with their financials. Shouldn’t effect your trade and I hope you hit ‘em a lick. Plus you’re backing “go long on Friday PM”. Good Luck…you need a winner right now.

    Scott

  • bullock

    Tim is just good after being followed by the subscribers.

    He is a stock preacher and a scalper.

    His DVD is to teach you on how to follow him.

    He makes money, meanwhile subscribers lose money.

    TIM IS FRAUD

  • http://www.ChristopherMcGill.com Christopher McGill

    What makes you say that? Not saying you are wrong, but that is a high accusation calling him a fraud.

  • 9551Scott

    Tim,

    Have you been drinkin'? I love your site but the comment about Buffett was way out of whack. Could have used someone else to make your point but I forgive you (like you care)..ha. Buffett is probably the last guy on the Street with an intact reputation. Hasn't done bad for himself and his stockholders either over 50 years. Nuff said.

    Only thing I don't like about your 20 grand pick is that the SEC is on their case about being late with their financials. Shouldn't effect your trade and I hope you hit 'em a lick. Plus you're backing “go long on Friday PM”. Good Luck…you need a winner right now.

    Scott

  • bullock

    Tim is just good after being followed by the subscribers.

    He is a stock preacher and a scalper.

    His DVD is to teach you on how to follow him.

    He makes money, meanwhile subscribers lose money.

    TIM IS FRAUD

  • http://www.ChristopherMcGill.com Christopher McGill

    What makes you say that? Not saying you are wrong, but that is a high accusation calling him a fraud.

  • Name

    Tim,

    What are your comments on SPDE after it is down by almost 20% from your recommended price? I got in the stock at $1.65 few weeks ago, sold some at $3.50, $7 and the last chunk at 8.20. Got back in at $6 today. SPDE looks like a winner stock for sure but I think your timing is wrong….do you agree? BTW, I normally do not short stocks, however I am interested in your newsletter, Timalerts, if there is a way you could send me only the long positions that you take..

    Thank you

  • Name

    Tim,

    What are your comments on SPDE after it is down by almost 20% from your recommended price? I got in the stock at $1.65 few weeks ago, sold some at $3.50, $7 and the last chunk at 8.20. Got back in at $6 today. SPDE looks like a winner stock for sure but I think your timing is wrong….do you agree? BTW, I normally do not short stocks, however I am interested in your newsletter, Timalerts, if there is a way you could send me only the long positions that you take..

    Thank you

  • lazycritic

    Tim: they didn’t file the 10K or the latest two 10Qs. That leaves a lot of unknowns. How do we know that their market cap is realistically $28 million (now $23 million) if we don’t know how many options and warrants are now in the money? They’ll be selling a lot of shares soon to raise capital, as well.

    With that said, I’d buy a little of this, even if it’s not a sure thing.

  • lazycritic

    Tim: they didn't file the 10K or the latest two 10Qs. That leaves a lot of unknowns. How do we know that their market cap is realistically $28 million (now $23 million) if we don't know how many options and warrants are now in the money? They'll be selling a lot of shares soon to raise capital, as well.

    With that said, I'd buy a little of this, even if it's not a sure thing.

  • AC

    The stock has taken a life of its own. Tim seems to have forgotten the relationship between a pennystock and the company, NOTHING! Who cares if its a pump if stupid shorts just keep piling on having no effect on the stock price? This could be a massive short squeeze as the shorts have played their hands and can easily be squeezed to a margin call shorting the true <$1 pennystocks. You know what this reminds me of….. the "scam" known as OHB. We all know how that one went down.

  • AC

    The stock has taken a life of its own. Tim seems to have forgotten the relationship between a pennystock and the company, NOTHING! Who cares if its a pump if stupid shorts just keep piling on having no effect on the stock price? This could be a massive short squeeze as the shorts have played their hands and can easily be squeezed to a margin call shorting the true <$1 pennystocks. You know what this reminds me of….. the “scam” known as OHB. We all know how that one went down.

  • http://www.timothysykes.com Anonymous

    just aiming for a short squeeze, didnt get it, cut losses quickly…added to my GVBP short, very happy they ended a relationship they just announced 4 days ago!

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/GENova-Bio-ends-relationship-prnews-3799628030.html?x=0&amp;.v=1

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    just aiming for a short squeeze, didnt get it, cut losses quickly…added to my GVBP short, very happy they ended a relationship they just announced 4 days ago!

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/GENova-Bio-ends-r

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