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All You Can Do Is Laugh At CDC Corporation (CHINA) & CDC Software (CDCS)

Posted by Timothy Sykes on Thu 6th of Aug, 2009 05:40:17 PM

LiveStock is live from China tomorrow 1-2PM EST, tune in HERE and have a laugh with me!

For weeks, CHINA has risen exponentially all on hype over its upcoming IPO of one of its subsidiaries and yet I was consistently negative on it, successfully shorting this incredibly stinky wannabe (look at the fundamentals, horrendous…as is their time and again hyping of themselves as a “hot” internet company when in fact growth is slower than the movie Seven Years In Tibet) as you read about HERE and HERE or if you were a TIMalert subscriber

The degenerates on message boards spread hype and manipulation far and wide, helping CHINA’s stock surge nicely:

ipo2 All You Can Do Is Laugh At CDC Corporation (CHINA) & CDC Software (CDCS)

…but now that their turkey subsidiary IPO has fallen 20% on its first day (just about the worst sign I’ve ever seen that this is a smokeshow…aka any institution who got suckered into this should be tarred and feathered for they are incompetent), CHINA’s stock dropped too (party’s over folks):

ipo All You Can Do Is Laugh At CDC Corporation (CHINA) & CDC Software (CDCS)

…you see IPOs are all about putting on shows to make companies look good and convince others to buy into those stories…the fact that the underwriters couldn’t even keep this up on the single most important day of this company’s existence, well, it shows how overvalued the thing really is…imagine how it’s gonna act when there’s no underwriter calling in favors and trying to push in buyers (underwriters DO give up on lost causes)

…and that’s why I sent out an email to TIMalert subscribers that I’d shorted CHINA today…and if you were a TIMalert subscriber, you’d see more of my reasoning, and target price…SIGN UP HERE and stop being a sucker.

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  • paigegilson
    HELP
    I bought 363 shares of this at $2.78
    Now what should I do ? I want to profit and I am new at this.
  • Yourdadsdad
    American investors are so naive and very often than not they are misled by these prejuidiced comments and the so called downgrade! Those who lose money are mostly small guineas and they just blindly follow those comments without knowing the truth about these Chinese companies while those brokers and investors on the other hand are able to buy cheap and get rich.
  • Sam
    Dude look at the CDC Software's performance in 6 to 12 months time. The company has made acquisition of various CRM products and Supply Chain Managament products in the recent years. Also they have added up new customers like Toyoto, etc which is given in the company's website. Dont worry about market freaks. CDCS really worths lot.
  • Steve
    CDC has fired all thier new account salespeople and tried to start a reseller channel - thinking that would cut costs to profitability to turn the IPO trick, unfortunately, the $1.5 - 2m per quarter new account sales have fallen to a total of 70k in the last two quarters. The reseller play is failing because the software is so complex and old school you can't support it without years of expertise. They are milking the base, selling add-ons to existing customers at fire sale prices - but the numbers are cooked - they claimed 4,000 customers last summer, which suddenly grew to 6,000 in a dreadfully slow economy - they claim 1,300 ERP customers, no one could ever find a list more than 200-some active customers. They have the same turnover rate in the CFO position as the average McDonalds, (7 in the last three years) mainly because whoever's in that position when the house of cards comes down will do time - and everyone agrees the technology is way too old, and it's too late to catch up - they've been cost cutting in the R&D department for years - other than that, I rate it strong buy.
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