1. 2008 devastation/false-prophet-type-public-humilaiation: There are 10,002 US Stock Mutual Funds that Morningstar tracks and none were up. The average performance was minus 43.63%. They track 2,892 Foreign Stock Mutual Funds, and none were up. None were down less than 10%, and the average performance was minus 50.75%.
2. The vast majority of them can’t short sell, so you have to be Merrill Lynch-type bullish, look where it got those idiots!
3. Fees add up over time, better to invest in ETFs
4. Holding time restrictions and penalties for early withdrawal
5. Bill ‘Don’t call me an embarrassment to the industry because I’ve sold out/gotten too cocky/lost my special mojo’ Miller & his torpedo fund LMVTX, look it up if you don’t know what I’m talking about…and go mow some lawns because if you’re not well read enough to play the stock market.
6. Ken Heebner and CGMFX down 50% after sooooooo much press
7. Odds are the next 20-50 years won’t be as bullish as the last 20-50…read Triumph of the Optimists
Disclaimer: I’m guilty of having two, PRPFX and VWELX, down on each of them about 15%…not too bad, but I didn’t want to do ETFs because I have an itchy trigger finger, although, I think I can breakeven with 2-3 years…or it’ll be interesting watching them try!….lesson learned: stick to what you’re good at!
Posted in Evolution