CHATROOM

Some Signs Of Life In Several Small Caps

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TIM $15,249, Up $29

Long 200 APWR @ $18.46 Overnight

Speech at the Trader’s Expo went incredibly well yesterday, some people came from as far away as Maryland just to hear me speak, or so they say. Some company recorded it so I’m sure they’ll be offering it shortly, Powerpoint presentation and all, not sure if it’ll be overpriced, but probly.

Funny story about using Bill Gates to tout a Penny Stock, actually kinda interesting

New SEC rules shortening holding period for restricted stock!

See that “Get In My Top Spots” on the right hand side thing, sign-up so I can continue this honesty quest and never have to be tempted to sellout

Stupid Media Fight: CNBC vs. Barrons over Cramer

Nature Vision (NRVN), a POS little $4 mil company with average daily volume under 10,000 doubled today, no shares available to short, action reminds me of Grand Toys (GRIN) the other day, which I missed filming with CBS. Unlike GRIN though I couldn’t find any NRVN to short today, not that I wanted to really, waaaay too scary, but the odds of success get much better if it becomes a 2-3 day runner, squeezing the early shorts

Bought 200 shares of best of crap breed company breaking out A-Power Enenrgy (APWR) at $18.46, on the afternoon intraday, 5-day, 10-day and nearly an all-time breakout (on little spike over $19 is all that stands in the way). This is what I mean when in my DVD I say to buy stocks enjoying breakouts over multiple timeframes. Yes it’s a lready spiked twice and failed—I got out for a quick $1 the first time, didn’t play the 2nd, but this is the first spike to occur into the close and thus it’s the most likely to continue the next day. Similar to me buying COIN the other day on a multiple timeframe breakout, which was screwed up by negative overnight news. So far, no negative news on this one, so a morning spike, most definitely a pre-market one, looks to be in the cards. After that, I doubt I’ll hold, too many big block sellers and too light volume for me to trust it. Only way I’ll stay in for more than an hour or two is if the volume impresses me.

IDM Pharmacueiticals (IDMI) continued to annoy short sellers. I was wise enough to cover my short before Friday afternoon and the ever so common Monday morning spike, but I shorted 1,500 shares today at $3.23, held for what seemed like forever, but was only a few hours and covered at $3.20 when it looked like it’d never break $3.15. Made like $25. It did eventually break, but then it spiked, broke again, spiked once more—what an annoying play! I’ll only short it if it breaks $3, that’d be a multi-day breakdown, hopefully it cane spike again and fade into that tomorrow afternoon or else it’ll just hold up like some strange biotechs like QSC seem to do and then we’re talking days, weeks or months before a good solid breakdown. Bleh!

TITN excellent morning gap on IBD news, then fade

CTIB midday spike on Walmart rumors, bailing out the people who bought in anticipation of a Crain’s article

Afterhours Spacehab (SPAB) failed to get their NASA contract, that means no financing, stock down 40%, company screwed. Coulda woulda shoulda held my short from last week, betting this company would fail. When in doubt, always bet on these microcraps failing—there’s a reason why I’m so cynical!

Got a big dinner, I’ll add charts to this post later to make it all clearer.

Posted in Link Love, Patterns To Buy, Potential Plays

  • timsykes

    guys stop emailing me about how long i’ll hold APWR, i don’t know, read the post more carefully. 7 eamils about this one question is just too much

  • Tony Ellis

    I’ll make a prediction. Tim is going to sell if it can’t take out 19.28 it’s all time high, 19.46 for a dollar profit if volume isn’t strong, and sells around 20.50 no matter what.

  • Alvari40

    Who gives a rats ass how long he holds it. The man is a trader, he doesn’t know until price and volume start moving. That is what a trader does – remains flexible. You should too. Dont’ follow his every move, gain insight from his technique. Once you understand his technique, you may trade it a bunch of different ways based on what you see. Tim – I don’t know how you do it. I would be poking my eyes out so that I didn’t need to read those posts. Yeah, I know…I can be an insensitive ass, but c’mon guys!

  • be-the-ball

    better yet Alvari, gain insight from what he says to do, not what he does. man is a terrible trader but he can spot a pattern like nobody’s business.

  • eric

    Alvari40…whats going on sir! i totally enjoy the exchange of knowledge and insight on this board. Im am learning TONS everyday!

  • Ivan Mutaftchiev

    Tim,

    What exactly is the pattern you’re looking for in order to short sell a stock ? None of your posts make that clear…

    Thanks

  • Whiskey Mac

    Alvari- For such an insensitive person… that was very well put (ha ha). Anyway, you’re right about remaining flexible. In fact I got out of APWR yesterday. Made .35c. ready for today….
    Tony- My prediction: I’m expecting our best of crap breed to fail on its thrid breakout attempt. And ready to short it hoping to pick up $1. I don’t know what level though. thank you for the tip on $19.28. I’ll be watching that.
    Advice/critisism is most welcome guys.

  • Alvari40

    Eric,

    My apologies.

  • tsa

    Today the market will open in gap down. SPY (S&P ETF) is under $134.
    So I take the chance APWR won’t do its second spike this morning. I short it at $18.40 in pre-market (yet only 100 shares filled).

  • timsykes

    APWr might not break out, but it’s def. not a short here–guys gotta learn just cuz something isn’t a buy, doesn’t make it a sell. there’s an entire realm of “avoid because its too iffy either way” that really applies to most stocks. APWR, you have $1 of downside potential and $2-3 of upside–not good risk-reward right now for shorts

  • timsykes

    ivan you just gotta read more, i’ve talked about severa patterns to short. if u want charts, click the charts tab at the bottom of the page, basically stocks up 100-300% in a few days, fading volume, fading stock price intraday, liek to short on 2-4th day of the runup, especially if the news is fluff. my DVD goes into more detail

  • Steph

    Premarket APWR is $0.17 down, haven’t you sold yours yet, Tim? Market is looking all red today, why do you expect APWR is going up? $100 oil didn’t help solar, how it could help wind power?

  • timsykes

    out of APWR at 18.22, lost a quarter, boo o hoo, not risking anything with oil down, the market down, solars getting killed.

    IDMI is painful, gotta learn to not get so faked out when i cant day trade

  • tsa

    Cover my position on APWR with a little profit of 25c a share.

  • timsykes

    who cares about wind power, i buy charts, not ideas. if the company sold power generated from human waste, i’d buy it just the same. playing the setups

  • tsa

    Shorted NRVN around $3.94, buy back successfully at $3.60, good for those who pays few fees per transaction. It was already this pattern yesterday, a spread of 30 cents and the same range during a good part of the day.

  • Al

    Shorted 300 CEGE @3.30

  • manhack

    IDMI dropping like a rock

  • Ivan Mutaftchiev

    Tim,

    So for example YTEC – one of the stocks you featured in your post from yesterday just crossed under 17.00. Is that a short opportunity ?

    Thnx

    Ivan

  • Alvari40

    Shorting NYNY here. Entry $2.24, 1/2 position

  • timsykes

    ivan, ytec is a potential breakout play, not a short. its not up 300% in a few days on fluff, it has earnings, yes its probly a double top but risk reward isnt good.

  • Al

    Covered 300 CEGE @2.95

  • timsykes

    nice cege trade, my 1,000 share short at $3.35 missed by 3 cents, buuuut wasn’t a perfect chart so i wasn’t aggressive. IDMI acting perfect for shorts and APWR perfect for longs, this is why i teach not just trade!

  • lmsmith

    APWR was a good play, if I was able to buy in the a.m when it was down- now is up… is it too late to go long on this one…….

  • Al

    Tim,

    thanks – 300 shares wasn’t much of a risk, but I’m still learning and I’m not playing with much money. I do enjoy trading.

  • be-the-ball

    APWR failed breakout again. one of these days it will succeed

  • timsykes

    i don’t like the way APWR trades, a stock this thin shouldnt have this many big sellers at every corner

  • ETQT

    don’t recommend long on APWR?

  • Barney

    Did anyone check out the APWR Roth Capital presentation yesterday? They have impressive growth numbers for 08 and 09.

  • Stan

    so… OXFD, Tim u said this was good yesterday, I agreed and bought a good amount of shares at 2.19.. I was glad to see it go up to 2.30 then 2.40 then 2.50.. but then it suffered its greatest intraday loss since its been going up about 4 days ago.. and now its just stuck at 2.25 what does something like this signify? I at least hoped for steady growth for another few days….

  • eric

    Alvari40…no apologies needed sir! Im just a student here taking notes so that I could make more money!

  • Al

    Tim,

    hows SWHC look to you?

  • timsykes

    SWHC is boooooooooooooooooring. i play volatile stocks ONLY.

  • jcc

    Took APWR from 18.25 to 19.00. Good run, but left money on the table by trying to call a top. It looks like its trying to break through the 19.30 but keeps getting batted down, I may re-enter if it finally gets through.

  • Anthony

    Tim,

    Thought’s on: AUY

  • lmsmith

    I know solar got crushed this a.m ohh well went long- have a feeling they will gap up tomorrow- I missed the boat on APWR

  • timsykes

    Short IDMI at $2.71, looking for $2.40 tomorrow. Obviouly wish I still had my 1,500 from the other day at $3.23, but hindsight is easy

  • Tony Ellis

    Are you watching COIN?

  • timsykes

    yup see COIN but my focus is short IDMI, i’m done buying breakouts unless they’re new highs, i’m just better at short selling

  • Alvari40

    Shorting CEC here at 26.77, 1/2 position.

  • Brian D

    I held my half position of IDMI, real nice today couldn’t get scared out of yesterday’s spike since I had class. I’m waiting anywhere between $2.40-$2.25 this stock has made my month great with all of its ups and downs.

  • timsykes

    Covered my IDMI at $2.54. Would hold but got a ton of meetings all day tomorrow. Still an easy and more importantly a predictable 17 cents/share, $150 profit on TIM’s current assets, easily could scale up to a position 20-50x the size

  • be-the-ball

    tim,

    how is 2.71 intraday a predictable entry point for a short in IDMI? I just don’t see it?

  • lmsmith

    APWR_ It’s flying!

  • timsykes

    i’ll have a detailed post on idmi later, but damn COIN, another stinger, the tagline of my website should be “he doesn’t know how to trade ‘em, but damn can he pick em”

    gotta get ready for FOX’s happy hour, everybody watch FOX Biz from 5-6PM tonight!

  • be-the-ball

    yeah, good pick, I rode *COIN for 15 minutes this afternoon to a nice profit…

  • Tony Ellis

    Have class tonight but I’m setting TIVO right now! Anyone holding COIN over night?

  • mike

    Coin +12%
    will you buy or short

  • Funterpwave

    Been following the post for a while and got to say I love it. Thanks Tim for all the hard work/easy attitude. When I read your posts (and book which I just finished), I can hear myself…..definitely dont have the patience for buy & hold. Anyways, to answer Tony, I am holding COIN overnight. Bought 1000 at 11.30 and hoping to make $1 by tomorrow am.

  • eric

    ALVARI40…taking notes sir and following yours and Tim’s lead. Alvari…Im a rookie so I have tons of questions…how long did it take until you felt like you knew what you were doing?

  • Tony Ellis

    Great segment on FOX BIZ…Hope you become the next Cramer! Only better.

  • Alvari40

    Eric,

    I have been trading stocks since the mid-90′s and futures since ’03 – I never totally feel like I know what i am doing. A traders life, IMHO, is one of being in the moment, feeling confortable with one’s own ability to make a split decision, living with the outcome of all trading decisions you make, and ACCEPTING PERSONAL RESPONSABILITY for all your trading decisions. Being in the moment, to me, means not losing focus, confidence, or your ability and willingness to make split decisions. Taking responsability means not having the personality that points fingers at TIM, Cramer, your dog, the doorbell, boss, etc. for trades that reslted in financial losses. Once you can do these things, you have freed up so much mental capacity to do what needs to be done IN THE MOMENT that you will dance with the charts.

    I feel like I know what I am doing when I exit a long position and can ignore the fact that the stock keeps going up (and just smile and say “good for you”). I feel like I know what I am doing when I quickly hit the eject button on a loser without cringing or being distracted from my mission. I feel like I know what I am doing when I pocket an ungodly amount of money and do not jump up and down with excitement. I feel like I know what I am doing when I hit the ask or bid to get into a trade after 5 straight losing trades and have no hesitation about doing it. You see, you NEVER get to the point where you know what the price movement is going to do, and that is difficult for most would be traders to get their arms around. You cannot control that aspect of it – period, accept that fact. Once you do, you will be able to focus on the things you can control. But you can control when you get in and when you get out of a trade. If you get in a trade at all. If you can do that while keeping your head on straight, then you have a fighting chance.

    Trading is a random walk. What you need is an edge that pushes the odds in your favor. A huge part of the edge, in my opinion, is the 8 inches between your ears.

    Thanks for asking.

  • eric

    Alvari40 awesome! When i said “whats going on sir” earlier, it was like saying “whats up” bcuz i havent seen u on Tim’s blog in a while. I was confused why u said sorry earlier? Ive been following and listening to veteran traders like u and Tim as well as reading tons of books. Thanks for all the advice. Good luck with CEC sir!

  • eric

    Alvari40…whats your thoughts on PCLN? Maybe a good short in the near future? Had a great runup post earnings n i think its ready to come down.

  • timsykes

    sorry i know the PCLN question isn’t meant for me, but no way in hell should u short that. never short an earnings mover for once, but this is a bigtime breakout on earnings! its pretty much the most reliably bullish sign u can get. 3rd straight quarter, last 2, solid uptrending, shorts have gotta be getting tired. reminds me of RIMM or GRMN back when they were climbing

  • eric

    Tim….you’re the man!

  • Stan

    Hey guys, Thoughts on CEC? Looks like a wonderful short

  • Alvari40

    Eric,

    Oh….I though you took exception to my earlier banter about what Tim was going to do with APWR. Not much goin on. Trying to make heads-or-tails of this market. My trading style is to find both long and short candidates and then daytrade them based on the strength of the market. That has been tough lately with the reversals we have had. I had some nice shorts that were working well this morning, only to reverse with the market. With my daytrading techniques, the momentum of the market is a force that is felt on my trades. So, I sustained some losses this morning with the reviersal of the market, closed out the shorts, and then went long a couple of stocks (including fslr, which really worked out for me). By the end of the day, I was back looking for shorts. Went into the after hours with CEC short (1/2 position), IDMI short (1/2 position), and APWR short (1/3 position). IDMI is getting tough to short due to Reg Sho issues. I need to call in now to Tradestation instead of just hitting the bid. Hope your trades are going well.

    BTW, from a pure technical standpointPCLN is on fire. In the last 2 days it retraced to test resistence and sprang up nicely. The breakout bar was on great volume, now just need to see volume follow thru. Funny thing here is that the runup it had last year never triggered an over bought condition on the weekly chart. Not sure I have seen that before. Strange.

  • eric

    Tim…I just added another great piece of advice from you to my trading notebook! Thanks “richassjew!”

    Alvari40…maybe “whats going on” is a Southern Cali thing? I enjoy learning from everyone on this website, especially from Tim and u. Im a college student following you veterans to the money! Thanks for all of your responses. I greatly appreciate it!

  • Alvari40

    Eric,

    I should know that – I am originally from the South Bay (Hermosa, Redondo, etc.). Now in the No Cal area (the Big Sac).

  • Alex

    CEGE? sykes pattern?

  • timsykes

    cege has positive news, not up enough, maybe u could scalp it for a bit but its already 60 cents off its highs…dangerous to short

  • Dan

    What do you think of CCTC? Its an OTC pink sheet but its been a mover. Mostly some crap company but is it shortable if it runs up again?

  • timsykes

    i can’t short pink sheets with thinkorswim and thank god! crap like cctc makes it too scary

  • http://www.geocities.com/toburtz/ Aubrey Rojas

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    Wisconsin Biotechnology Association
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  • PETEKUSH

    coin lol yea right this was nice..

  • Steve Denton

    Oxford Funding (OXFD) looks like it is ready for an upward
    spike. CAREFUL: this will be a great short term investment, plan your entry and exit and stick to it. Shortly after the jump it will fall back to its normal >$1.

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    ha somebody even posted it went red before me, probly a pennystocking dvd student….this isnt rocket science

  • kelvin

    Nice.

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    good spot kelvin, did u short too?

  • kelvin

    Yea. At .63 this morning

  • http://www.ibusinesstalk.com jspmedia

    under $10 now … goog call Tim..I missed this one..

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    SWHC has same exact pattern too

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    what time did u guys get the email alert? friggin pissed how slow it is for some people….everyone should signup for text alerts too:

    http://timalerts.com/sms/

  • topherkus

    still havent got an email or text luckily i check the site…..Fix this tim!!

  • topherkus

    wait just got it after i typed that lol 15 mintues late 1:11CST alert went out got email at 1:27CST

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    no way to fix email alerts, thats why we’re developing a realtime solution…for now signup for text messages

  • YoungGunz

    email was at 1:26, txt was at 1:12. I wasn’t in a good recenption area and didn’t get the ringtone to go off…bummed.

  • bgw

    didnt even get the text, signed up on sunday.

  • Don Smith

    gmail time stamp 2:27 EST

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    pathetic time stamps, sorry guys, cant wait til we get our developmental stuff done, sad there’s no company out there that does this

  • jkart

    time stamp: 1:27, can’t get text where I’m at for the time being… :(
    eagerly awaiting the realtime solution!!! why don’t you have Pallian with his genius create some kind of locked subscriber Tim Alerts applet for the iphone…
    Anyway at least i got twitterfon…. ;)

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    stock is acting perrrrfectly, SWHC even better

  • http://www.ibusinesstalk.com jspmedia

    Tim, are you holding overnight?

  • tbohen

    OUT SWHC +306.18, fuck, I guess its beer money…

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    compare the pattern that SWHC is forming to the ones i describe in my DVDs and see whether i’ll hold overnight or not

  • cash

    Since tim will not tell you i will. He will hold over night since this is the stocks first down day in a while as well as it has a perfect afternoon fade going. He is hoping for a nice selloff in the morning covering between 9.75 and 9.50.

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    cash is 100% dead on, i made these dvds to reduce the q&a, will u guys please watch em:

    http://www.test.timothysykes.com/store

  • tbohen

    My worthless notes on SWHC

    http://timbo.cmsinter.net/?p=1404

  • Don Smith

    shorted 100 of SWHC @4.11

  • cash

    Tim could you tell me again i am 100% right i like the sound of that?

  • cash

    bye bye SWHC

  • HopeSolo

    Received email on gmail at 2:28pm here.

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    cash u were 100% right

  • tbohen

    Damnit thats it I’m done, just shot another $500 bones out of SWHC!!

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    and i wish i had shorted SWHC also or instead of RGR, much much much better drop, how much u guys making, i need to do a post tonight!

  • Don Smith

    tbohen – I started SWHC and posted my entry before I read your comments.
    It looks to me like your initial reason for the trade is still good. This one also looks likes it bounces in the morning. I will be expecting a squeeze and looking to cover about 3.80.

    whoo, look at that – gotta go.

  • tbohen

    Whew that was quite the two minutes, I need a smoke!!

    http://timbo.cmsinter.net/?p=1406

  • HopeSolo

    Hey Tim… I’m shocked that you don’t have a post up yet about the morons trying to bring the uptick rule back. Sounds like it’s going to be restored soon, hopefully your business and trading strategies don’t suffer too much. Knowing you, you will adopt under any situation, but this is bleek:

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/29616614

  • tbohen

    Don, yeah judging by that late action, I’m VERY happy with how I played it!!

  • Don Smith

    Looked like a lot of covers, I almost did.
    Holding overnight -$9.00.

  • tbohen

    SWHC, tomorrow’s MONSTER STOCK!!!

    http://tinyurl.com/b58wyp

  • Don Smith

    tbohen, not sure what to make of that. I don’t read the Fool but I know a lot of others do.

    Does anyone know if the Fool can pump a stock?

    I will look at the chart and review a DVD or two (Penny Stocking II) and be ready for a move in either direction.

    Thanks

  • tbohen

    Don, it probably doesnt mean shit, it just cracked me up one of thier MONSTER stocks has a hideous chart like SWHC. All the fools will be “buying on the dip” :)

  • rassoodock

    The Fool pretty much spams useless articles about all the current hot stocks to bring traffic to their site as they get links from Yahoo finance.

  • cash

    Tim i did not play either RGR or SWHC cause i am on vacation down in pinehurst and checked in between my two rounds of golf today. Speaking of golf you ought to show up to pinehurst #6 tomorrow so my buddy’s and i can get into your pockets. Cause from what i can tell from WSW you sure are a great pennystocker but a good golfer you are not.

  • HopeSolo

    cash: at least he’s better than his buddy who was puking from a hungover golf game, lol pathetic.

  • dino

    what about CYNO look like will come out of the clift?

  • dreagan

    2:26pm