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Adventures In Short Selling: You Need Buying Power Dummy!

Posted by Timothy Sykes on Tue 8th of Jan, 2008 03:51:51 PM

TIM $14,617, Up $65 on the Day.

To anybody who claims there’s not as much volatility in microcaps since 2000 (hence I can’t repeat my feat), check out this chart!Awoke to find my account slightly higher for no apparent reason, then I saw Thinkorswim gave me $40 to celebrate my 40th trade in a month. LOL, that’s gonna be an easy $480 every year—Woohooo, I love these guys!

If you read my spirited post about AKNS earlier, you’d know being up $65 on the day is an insult. I woke up early to borrow shares of AKNS and SEED, just in case there was any pre-market strength for me to short into. Surprise, both had it. But I wanted to see if the strength would fade before I entered. SEED looked okay, but I wanted AKNS. If it broke $14, I knew $13 was coming, that’d be a nice $300 and maybe more, especially if panic drove it into the $12s.

Bingo, right at the open AKNS took out $14 and I placed my short with a limit of $13.75 to make sure I got it. But then I saw the big fat REJECTED on my trading software for the second day in a row. What was going on, I clearly had enough day trading buying power this time?

Nope. When I contacted customer service, they told me, I did have the buying power, but there was a glitch. They had to manually re-enter my order. Great, it was already too late. In those 2 minutes, AKNS dropped below $13, on its way to $12.25. No way would I have held all the way, I’m guessing an exit of $12.75ish. Bastards. This drop was PREDICTABLE!

Oh well, next. SEED, a much slower mover; I patiently waited for a bounce to short into. When I saw it, it was bouncing between $8.80 and $8.45ish, I wanted to short at the top of the range because I figured the dip buyers would eventually give up and it’d be an easy cover in the $8.30s when it broke $8.45. I shorted 400 shares at $8.81, content with my entry price and waited. Buyers were stubborn to give up, so I said screw it and bought my 400 shares back at $8.56, a decent gain, but I just couldn’t risk a short squeeze. Bingo, the squeeze happened late day, as another POS wannabe alternative energy play, (Nasdaq: COIN), was spiking. $90 profit, good entry + good exit=solid trade.

TIM Lesson: If a stock isn’t acting EXACTLY like you want/expect it to, get out, don’t risk a reversal.

Still had another day trade, so I decided to try and test my patience with a bounce play. Last night saw several quality stocks had gotten crushed over the past few days, VMW, TLEO, SIGM, CNQR, N, NVDA and ININ. Sure, there were analyst downgrades (meaningless) and competitor warnings (noted), but I thought I could buy one of these suckers for a $1-$3/share bounce. All we solidly up when I looked in the morning, but CNQR looked prime dip meat in the early afternoon, if it could just take out a 27,000 share sell at $31.45. It gradually did and I was one of the last to buy into that block with my 120 shares.

Unfortunately, more big sell blocks came, first at $31.10 (17k) and then $31.08 (27k). This wasn’t my game, and there was no telling what stupid institution was dumping shares so quickly. The stock was off $8 in a few days, but I couldn’t risk a big loss on a non-perfect trade. I cursed my need for daily profits and sold at $31, a stupid $70 loss, nearly wiping away my SEED trade. Stock rebounded to my entry and a bit more before falling back down $1 below my exit (a good short sign, but scary stock to predict further weakness). Good exit, but stupid trade. Discipline and alcohol needed. One vodka discipline please.

SIGM and TLEO look good here, but I don’t have enough capital to spread my assets around and TLEO is one scary chart to buy into! The solars all bounced mid-day, but ultimately fell hard, probly good overnight shorts, but I have appointments all day tomorrow in CT, so I can’t risk holding anything. This market is getting awfully scary awfully fast, good for me, people know sooooo little about short selling!

I’m in yet another Blog Carnival, The Festival of Stocks.

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  • dmk NANX is the only interesting one...acer, the watchlists come out by 8am EST eevery morn, sometimes earlier...no later
  • Sending one out in 2 hours!
  • acerockolla
    Hey Tim, what is the latest you will send out a watch list? Living in Hawaii, and having to wake up at 130 to reserve shares, then again at 330 for market open kind of sucks. It would help not only me, but all the west coasters too if your watch list came out earlier like it used to, OR consistently at a certain time.

    This is just a suggestion though, feel free to ignore this post. I'm sure your busy lifestyle probably has a huge effect on the consistency in which your watchlists come out.
  • dmk112
    Tim - how about these...

    OCCXD, NANX, AAI
  • StephenJ
    How about GM? It held at ~6, room to drop?
  • JB, i'd never short LGDI down here, they're a fraud, but they're good at pumping, too many frauds too little time, focus on shorting them when they're pumped...learn more from my DVD:

    http://www.timothysykes.com/dvd
  • frayes
    ISRG, huge drop. Fucking market is all over the place.
  • dmk112
    Shorted RRI, up 3% so far, not much yet.. Holding it overnight.
  • StephenJ
    Nice post today, Tim. What do you think of ISRG? Down 15% today, do you feel a bounce coming tomorrow?
  • dmk112
    Why do they have that rule? I still don't understand...
  • jeepee
    caseyervin- the PDT rule sucks, no option but to deal with it. It does however mean that sometimes you have to look for swing trades or trades you sit on for a night or even longer, but to be honest I hate that... definitely now.
  • jb
    SORRY READERS, this LONG question my wife sent was soposed to go Tim's email. flippin newbies!
  • jb
    Tim, just joined yesterday, very excited :0!! Always wanted to short, quick question, own 9600 shares of LGDI-loved their future until we read your site comment a few months ago, that about the new Off Take agreement w/the lgest fert co. in India to take 80%/yr? still hate it? the stock went from 54-90 why didn't you short, it went up as much as APWR? loved the info on "fluffin" and "spammin", bummed, selling all LGDI-gotta new thought process..... SELL ALL....GO SHORT!!!!! 100% in! thanks Tim!
  • Attack987
    Nice job. I missed the break and didn't want to chase. Oh well, there will be more...
  • steveduckels
    Shorted APWR at 5.76 and covered at 5.20 for a quick $560.00 profit. I love this game. I'm hooked!
  • Attack987
    Damn, missed a perfect head and shoulders on 15-min APWR chart.
  • i dont limit the # of trades, i just have a ton to do and sometimes the patterns dont work out...today ALDA, BWEN all dropped too quick so that even if i profited, nobody else woulda have tiem to get in...i prefer afternoon fades
  • prognesubis
    ALDA easy at TOS.
  • bao_t2008
    PFD is down $0.68 so far. Perhaps, it can make a good short.
  • caseyervin
    jeepee-
    Are you just limiting the number of trades you make now?
  • Reaper
    PFD easy borrow @ IB. COIN, ALDA available at IB as well.
  • kelvin
    i can't get any BWEN at TOS but PFD
  • steveduckels
    Resevered 2000 shares of BWEN at TOS
  • Reaper
    Looks like I got the last batch of BWEN at TOS. Sorry, but my other brokers didn't have it.
  • jeepee
    not for me today... PDT rule. seriously considering to take a shortcut and top up the acct to $25k... but then again I am worried that I will be less eager then...
    What is your opinion Tim?
  • cash
    Have 2k APWR 1k BWEN 500 ALDA reserved
  • reserved BWEN and ALDA for potential shorts couldnt find shares of the others
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