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TIM: CMGI, Solar Fun, Gawker and Those Crazy Arizona Wildcats

Posted by Timothy Sykes on Tue 4th of Dec, 2007 04:03:16 PM

TIM $14,140 (up $77 on the day)

100% Cash, No Positions

A nice day trade on an oldie, but a goodie, CMGI (Nasdaq: CMGI). Remember them? They were one of the high fliers back during the bubble days, but have fallen on hard times and had to do a reverse split just to get their share price up. That is, until last night’s earnings rep

ort, did it for them. Now, it’s a nice bottom at $10—I’ll have a detailed post later tonight, but for now, just take a look at the one day chart and you’ll see why I bought 200 shares on the intraday breakout at $13.03 on the volume surge at 12:30pm EST. Yes, the stock was already up 25% on the day, but this is a company on the mend that’s waaaay off its highs, so I figured there’d be some upside. Within an hour, I’d sold my shares at $13.47 for a nice 3.4% or $77 gain. Yes, it went higher, but I’m not trying to be a perfect timer—if it’d gone up more gradually, I probly would’ve held overnight, but I have a problem—I like quick profits.

SOLF—wow, while I definitely expected some strength (see my post from last night), I didn’t think this thing was capable of becoming an exponential gainer. But, with this kind of volume, anything is possible and the news today was pretty good. I actually almost shorted it in the afternoon ($25.40 was the cracking point, but it always held) and was glad that I was disciplined to wait for that crack before shorting. What’s so special about that point—well—the shorts tried to crack that 5 times throughout the day and failed, can you say support? Late in the day, it actually briefly cracked, but I like to short into gradual declines, not quick drops like that. Anyway, new support is $25, a nice fat round figure for idiot investors to place their stops at. I look to short into that price, although I’m not sure how good I’ll be feeling tomorrow after my night out tonight at the University of Arizona (if you’re in the area, come by the business school and hear me speak tonight at 6:30pm!)

CTDC, a classic stock that likes to get pumped, surged 37% today, putting in a nice bottom at $5—this one’s on watch to short, but definitely not yet…hopefully it can get up to double digits first!

And we’ve got a bunch of other ones from my Solar’s Eleven that are rising today on some new energy bill..blah, like these stocks actually need a reason to pop, blah. ASTI, LDK, HOKU.

Sykes in the news: Gawker ran yet another little feature on me. I love those guys. And if you’re in the mood to come hear me speak, definitely check out this news, as I’m apparently the keynote speaker for EQUITIES Magazine’s Winter Discovery Day on December 7th!

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  • trad3rhan
    shorted 1500 COIN on Thursday morning @ 5.90. Covered Friday morning @ 5.30. $860 profit after fees and commissions.
  • darkseraph
    holding short @ 6.52 .. let's see how Friday fares
  • Reaper
    Short o/n. Got whipsawed too. Took a few losses, got a crappy re-entry price. Way in the red on this one.
  • redwjamz
    IB wouldnt short it yesterday, and today I lost my login card =(.
  • master_wally
    Shorted @ 6.05 - covered at 5.57. Not bad.... I'd like to have the guts to hold overnight but it didn't make any sense to do that.
  • Getshorty
    I've profit from many others, lately APII and TAYD but none as bouncy as this.

    Trying to learn the balance of patience with cutting your losses small.

    I would have only covered if it broke the 6.25 with a higher high but had to leave, and stop losses just get me fucked on this ones.
  • etyrell
    Shorted 300 shares @ 6.006, covered @ 5.55 for a profit of $136.80 before trading costs. It is chump change, but it beats the hell out of the 2.5% butt-kicking I took in my 401(k) today. I could have improved my entry price by 20 cents or so, but I was trying to get the best price and chased it down. No complaints at all.

    Keep it up Tim.
  • COIN just sux, u gotta have patience, look how my previous trades fared
  • Getshorty
    If the IRA penalty is having to reverse your tax savings, you'll end up the same, since now the gains will be fully taxed on your non tax shielded brokerage account.

    If the Penalty for withdrawing from an IRA is bigger than just giving back the related tax savings, then it would be a good option.

    This helped me to try and clear my mind from COIN.
  • yaktipper
    Don't know why I thought of this, almost completely off topic, but it might help someone fund an account if it works --

    Could you transfer money from a self-managed IRA to a regular brokerage account without early withdrawal penalty by:
    1) Buy shares in a low volume non-volatile stock in the IRA.
    2) Wait for a day with no after-hours bids, then put in a ridiculously low after-hours bid with your brokerage account.
    3) In the IRA account, sell the shares after-hours at the brokerage account bid price.
    4) Next day sell the shares from the brokerage account.

    Voila! You lost money in your IRA and gained the same amount in your brokerage account, no IRS early withdrawal penalty. Now the money you thought was locked up with no margin/no short ability is free to use for TIMAlerts. Just a few bucks for commissions for the transfer.
  • Getshorty
    Completeley understand you Patelt, this was a pretty bouncy one. THe bounciest Tim alert ever. Even more scary after the yesteday fake off plus the fact that was a morning play. Required an extra set of balls, a small stake at risk or luck to profit handsomely. I got the feeling that somebody was playing small players around. spreads were fairly big and bid and asks were very small in size.

    Scary stuff. I am missing something here for sure
  • patelt78
    shorted at 6.28, coin went down to the 5.80's, but then there was a bounce. I got scared and covered at 6.19. About a $60 gain.
  • Getshorty
    Close is almost a bearish engulfing pattern. Pretty bearish close. Will stay short my current 1000 shares, won't commit more capital, getting to emotional with this one.
  • Getshorty
    Previous Post: 1200 shares at 12:51 Eastern time where at 5.62.

    I sucked bad at this one.
  • trad3rhan
    Shorted at 5.90, holding overnight.
  • Getshorty
    I got killed whipsawed, bad entries and bad exits during the day.

    This has been a clear breakdown on the daily chart, but within the day there were several apparent fakeouts.

    Shorted after the alert at 5.99 on one hour saw it go to 6.25. 1 hour later I had to leave for the doctor, put a stop limit at 6.05 for half my position and it got executed right away, clearly manipulated since price was in low 5.50s and retraced after. After seeing that, decided to close my position altogether and then decide whether to reenter later after I was back at a computer.

    At 12:51 (eastern time) shorted 1200 shares since it looked like tanking big, after it broke down $5.50, shorted aditional 500 shares at 5.42.

    Due to the confusing action decided to close 700 shares at 5.60. Let 1000 shares riding overnight.

    I think I am not the only one who was whipsawed here. I think Tim didn't got whipsawed because of better entry point, but this was very tricky for me and screwed it big time.

    Stock was gooing up and down 20 cents in minutes. I felt like somembody with a few hundred thousands was playing with me moving the price up and down, which culd certainly can be the case.

    Lesson learned? not sure yet, but tilting to "if it is a breakdown but the stock is a bitch, short small"

    Real loss $28

    Paper loss $170 (still short 1000 shares overnight)
  • ddopps
    still short over night
  • be-the-ball
    Made $250. Could only get 550 shares to short. Still, easy money
  • AdamN
    Holding COIN short overnight from $5.84, so only made $130 in unrealized profits. I will report back my total earnings after I cover sometime in the next day or so.
  • howd u guys do, lets hear some profit $$$$$ figures
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