CHATROOM

IAAPA Expo, Stock Picks and An American Hedge Fund Book Review

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TIM $14,050 (down $28 on the day, up $1,635 or 13.17% in 9 days)

IAAPA —Spent the morning and early afternoon at this expo and I’m going back again tomorrow. I thought it’d be boring, but I underestimated those
392.jpg”>crazy bastards
who work in the attractions industry—there’s rides, games and fun for everyone—if you’re in Orlando this week, come on down! (Just wait ‘til you see some pictures)

Overall Market/Economic Numbers/ News from Corporate Giants—Irrelevant! (I just love how people think they need to digest all this crap in order to trade successfully)

CSIQ —Solar play (that was in contention to be part of my Solar’s Eleven ) reported blowout earnings…managed to breakout to an all-time high (and sloppy cup and handle chart pattern) in the early afternoon, but couldn’t hold on. I thought about buying some into the close for the probable gap up, but I’m going to see a demo of CYGT’s new technology tomorrow morning, making gap up plays—especially on volatile stocks like this—too risky for my blood.

CYGT —nosed around their exhibit today—lots of Six Flags, Hershey and other people milling about (me gusto mucho). Stock showed some nice buying at 12 cents today, but the spread is ridiculous and makes me glad that I sold out TIM out at 11 cents. Probable further upside, simply because it’s so cheap and there’s so little dollar trading volume. Even though TIM is out, I, along with practically everyone else I’ve ever met still has a ton of shares so here’s to the slim chance of the comeback of the century!

QSC —biotech play continues their exponential run-up… I love it! I thought about shorting it into the close, but I don’t like shorting exponential plays until they go negative (or in this case, crack $4/share). Probable short tomorrow, but it’s gotta be confirmed by the price action first. (This blog is helping me become more disciplined!)

SMRT —textbook reversal and I reallyyyyyyy wanted to short this sucker into the close, but I procrastinated (not wanting to risk a late day bounce) and by the end of the trading day, it was already down a ton. Stock probly will fall another 50 cents pretty easily, but, it could bounce just as quickly and with my IAAPA schedule booked for tomorrow, this isn’t something I want to be in.

EDA —lack of trading volume / confirmation of breakout makes me happy I wrote this off as too boring for TIM and basically anybody with a pulse.

XRM —the one stock I took a position in today (short sold 300 shares at $5.82 right before the close). I highlighted this one yesterday as a play that I think will soon reverse. This is just a small position (12% of TIM assets) and I’m willing to add into strength, but I fully expect a drop of 50 cents or more from the current $5.88 closing price in the coming days as the stock showed particular afternoon weakness, nearly finishing negative on the day.

JRJC —incredible bounce right back to near where the old support (now resistance) sits in the $31-$32 range. Since this is a textbook bounce that will probably fail, I was thinking of shorting 100 shares to scalp it for $2-3/share to the downside—but earnings are next week and I’m expecting blowout numbers so shorting is extra-risky here. Watching form the sidelines.

DTV —has gotten crushed due to DISH’s pathetic earnings report. I’m still interested—since I still love DTV fundamentally—but I hate stocks that fakeout breakout, so I’m just watching and waiting here.

INOD —great earnings today, should continue to be strong, put on my watchlist for possible buy.

And, definitely, definitely most importantly, I just got another glowing book review from Richard Wilson, a hedge fund consultant, who calls my book a “Great read for a trader, or anyone aspiring to be a trader or start their own hedge fund…”

I’m getting a ton of emails from people who think I should focus 100% of my time on trading “to get my credibility back”—to you people, I say, “Screw you! ” As much as I want to make $1.65 million as quickly as possible, I’ve learned to live a more balanced life (somewhat) as I think it helps my trading (not to mention my sanity). So, instead of devoting 18 hours/day to the market, I’ll probably devote 15 or so—the rest of the time, I’ll be enjoying fun events (like IAAPA), writing this blog, doing any and all interviews (gotta spread the word about responsible financial speculation!), speaking (I’m available—get ready University of Arizona Investment Club!) and replying to emails. Ideally, I’ll show that you don’t have to watch the markets 24/7 since—and I really believe this—the greatest opportunities stand far above the typical market noise.

Warning: TIM has a position in XRM…Timothy Sykes and the Easter Bunny have positions in CYGT.

Please note that due to factors including low market capitalization and/or insufficient public float, we consider some of these stocks to be small-cap stocks. You should be aware that such stocks are subject to more risk than stocks of larger companies, including greater volatility, lower liquidity and less publicly available information, and that postings such as this one can have an effect on their stock prices.

Posted in Book Reviews, CYGT, Expos

  • lamecoder

    Nice pick Tim. My second Tim trade. In for 2k shares at 5.3 out at 5.5. An easy $382 gain after comissions.

  • PCola

    I made just over $1100. In for 1983 shares (partial fill) at $5.07 and out at $5.65

  • YoungGunz

    Yeah, that was a little disappointing. I just about sold at 5.70 then it dropped quick to 4.40 and recovered to 5.50′s and i started getting nervous so I sold at 5.52

  • notesguy88

    I got out at 5.69. A little better than 10% for me. wooooooo hoooooooo Hell I only bought 200 shares but this trade alone paid for my timalerts subscription for 3 months! :-)

  • YoungGunz

    I bought 100 shares at 5.27 and sold at 5.52 for $25 bucks. If I would have saw the alert when it first came out I would have bought more and I would have had a better spread.

  • MikeY

    Still holding onto mine.. for now..

  • YoungGunz

    CHC up 52 cents already for the day.

  • notesguy88

    So now should we be looking at possibly shorting nobl?

  • bigjimstradingpost

    Sweeny

    Thanks for the ANAD alert.
    I banked $190 by shorting TNTQ as a sympathy play. I just looked again and it’s bounced back up to where I shorted it at the open…HMMM…waste a day trade on another couple hundred bucks.. NAWWW

    I shorted 2000 FLWS at $6.67 on Tims BORING ALERT… I’m gonna put in a BTC around $6 and go play some poker. You all have a great weekend. See ya on Monday.

  • Ross

    I am still in with 200 shares @ 5.26

  • YoungGunz

    No I am not looking to short noble. you don’t short financial plays.

  • bigjimstradingpost

    Well There’s goes the 1000 shares of ETFC i bought this morning..Nuther $800 in the bank…
    LLNW climing ever so slowly…gonna hang on to that one to snare some Olmpics hype..
    FLWS gonna drop I’m sure…

    TQNT tempting me as she just broke $6…hmm

    Timmy what do you think?

  • bigjimstradingpost

    sorry that was 10000 shares of ETFC

  • Ross

    Sold my 200 shares of NOBL @ 5.54 made around $42 after commissions.

  • evanmost

    With my first trade I bought 125 shares at 5.05 and sold at 5.61 Profit of $64

  • bigjimstradingpost

    I think all you Syksters caused all the action in NOBL this morning….she flatlined now that you are all done…

  • YoungGunz

    Noble was pumped up on financial numbers not by hype and spam its not going to just fall apart and crash. The price is reflecting the financial outlook of the company for the quarter not a bunch of promoters pitching fantasized speculations of it being the next Microsoft.

  • http://www.heyidea.com Sweeney

    $.29 gain on 1500 shares… $435 in the bank! thank you thank you

  • YoungGunz

    The thing was flat lined before he got out. If it was trending up he we wouldn’t have left.

  • bigjimstradingpost

    Anyone else going to short FLWS? Interesting 5 Day chart…

  • MikeY

    Am I the only one left holding onto NOBL shares?

  • bigjimstradingpost

    LLNW rockin!!

  • MikeY

    Out of NOBL… $228.02 after commissions

  • Cashiuus

    Yeah big, I shorted it @ $6.90 (FLWS), this sucker’s got some fire under its ass this morning, let’s go turnaround.

  • bigjimstradingpost

    F’n FLWS just spiked 3% to $6.92.. boring my ass…this stock is turning hot…
    I’m not gonna sweat it… I think it’s MMs doing thier thing to chase out shorts. I’m holding over the weekend…

  • evanmost

    Big, I shorted a little too early @ 6.79 for a few shares.

  • MikeY

    Seems like I picked a good time to get out of NOBL… tanked 5.30 now…

  • YoungGunz

    whew glad i got out of nobl when i did. its at 5.29.

  • bigjimstradingpost

    S&P reiterated BUY rating on FLWS at 1052…going straight up after that..

  • bigjimstradingpost

    Knew I shoulda shorted NOBL at $5.68 when I wanted to…

  • MikeY

    Hahah yup… $5.10 now…

  • bigjimstradingpost

    I’m about to lose all the cashola I made on ETFC and TQNT this morning on FLWS and I’m outta buying power to short it anymore. I may have to bail if it breaks $7

  • Wes

    Re-entry on NOBL…anyone?

  • bigjimstradingpost

    NOBL is done.. don’t push your luck on that again today..

  • Ross

    Glad I got out too. I didn’t have much wiggle room when I bought at 5.26 and only 200 shares.

  • bigjimstradingpost

    Whew..
    Ok she doesn’t want to crack $7…
    I’m gonna wait it out a bit longer

  • yaktipper

    Tim, read your book last night. Great insider info and entertaining story. I plan on writing a review when I have time.

    Unrelated question for everyone here — can a large limit sell order at a price 10% over the current price influence traders on a low volume day?

  • bigjimstradingpost

    FLWS went from $6.42 to $7.15 yesterday and settled at $6.73.
    I think we’ll be OK…once the hype dies down a bit..
    Other than that it hasn’t been over 7 since June..

  • PCola

    yak, can you detail that question a bit more?

  • Ross

    Hey Big J Are you plannning on shorting FLWS?

    Looks like ZOLT bounced back. I picked up 100 shares yesterday @ 20.50

  • bigjimstradingpost

    I am short 3000 shares of FLWS average $6.69…way to early…
    I bought another 1500 shares of ZOLT this morning at 20.47ish..

  • bigjimstradingpost

    Ross,
    Look at LLNW..
    I’m likin this one big time as a short term hold.. a couple weeks..

  • Ross

    What’s your prediction on FLWS. How far down do you think it will go?

  • Ross

    I am watching llnw I may jump in

  • notesguy88

    flws up over 7 now …

  • bigjimstradingpost

    Right now I’m just hoping to get back out without losing my ass on FLWS..
    I originally had a sell buy to cover order in for $6.36 but just raised it to $6.61… The market is on fire today.. I think thats a big reason FLWS is smokin…everything is smokin…

  • bigjimstradingpost

    You know…if Tims said it once, he’s said it a thousand times..don’t short earnings plays. FLWS was $5.50 on Tuesday. Earnings came out that beat expectations but were ho-hum and here we go to $7…make that $7.03…
    I’m hanging on…and won’t buy to cover until $7.10plus but every friggin dime is $300..

  • bigjimstradingpost

    FLWS $7.14 son of a…
    Well she bounced off $7.15 yesterday..
    holding my breath…I can’t watch

  • das317

    Tim..thinking anything on ILE now? Glad I shorted although didn’t do it right.

  • yaktipper

    PCola,

    Say daily volume of a $10 stock is 100,000 shares. You put in a 2,000 share limit sell at $11. Would traders watching lvl 2 see that and think “hey someone knows something”, creating a self-fulfilling chain reaction? Does that ever happen?

  • bigjimstradingpost

    NOW ALL YOU SYKSTERS>>>
    Short the crap outta FLWS..
    Hit yesterdays high…
    Drop this PIG!!!

  • bigjimstradingpost

    NICE MOVE DAS!!!

  • bigjimstradingpost

    OK

    I really am outta here this time.

    FLWS..
    Just like yesterday it spiked to $7.15ish. It didn’t hold then and it won’t hold today. I’d short the crap outta it at $7.10 but am outta dry powder.

    Great weekend to ya all. Be safe out there…

    BIG JIM

  • Ross

    Ouchy Big Jim

  • PCola

    yak, most likely no. Reason being that Level 2 only shows the BEST bid or ask from a particular MM. So if you have a big order at $11, your order is probably in line behind anyone who’s ask is $10.10, 10.20, 10.50, etc. So until all those are gone, your order will not show on L2. Exceptions are if you happen to use an MM that has no other orders in front of yours.

    Also, i believe there’s something called Level 3 that shows all orders, not just the best from each MM, but i don’t think retail tarders can get access to that.

  • bigjimstradingpost

    It won’t hold..I’m good

  • das317

    anybody have thoughts on ILE now. not good with timing and wondering if i should cover my short or hold.

  • Ross

    Anybody have threshold when CHC is good to short? I got 500 shares reserved. It’s @ 2.74 now.

  • longshort28

    I have reserved 400 too….CHC go south

  • longshort28

    WAVE anyone?

  • YoungGunz

    the wave is settling on WAVE may get a long scalp now.

  • PCola

    I played wave from 1.05 to 1.17 earlier. Back in at 1.00. Not confident this time though.

  • longshort28

    true young …i bought 1000

  • Getshorty

    FLWS is moving after earnings were bad but not as bad as expected, investors have problems making their mind about the value of the company, look at the 1 min chart, it is just chaos. Wouldn’t touch it.

  • Getshorty

    ABOUT WAVE

    The company is headquartered in San Diego, California. With 102.86 million shares outstanding and 12.07 million shares declared short as of July 2008, there is no longer a failure to deliver in shares of WAVE. According to quarterly data provided by the SEC, there were still 103,428 shares of WAVE that were failing-to-deliver as of September 28, 2007.

    12% of shares shorted and it haven’t bounced after the huge drop opening, some guys should start taking gains now, may spike on short covering for profits?

  • Getshorty

    Looks like a lot of shorts are covering smoothly, lot of buying 1n the 1 min chart in the 1.00 – 1.05 range, you bastards….

  • DeuceDavis

    Got out of NOBL with $280 profit . . . another nice one Tim. thanks!

  • skeen

    Check out CCMJ and STSI

  • Ross

    I managed to chip out $41 after trade fee on ZOLT Bought 20.5 sold 21.05

    So far I made $85 today after trade fees on just a few hundred shares and a couple trades. Starting to get a feel of this.

  • youngmoney19

    NOBL is really taking a beating right now. Its trading at $4.97 right now. I really expected it to hit $6.

  • Ross

    Young, I was hoping that too but once I saw it bump up past 5.7 and then started going down I bailed out.

  • Getshorty

    GOtta be flexible and get out quick when it starts acting against you, or unpredictable, got out at 5.63 for $ 140 profits (entry at 5.30 yesterday)

  • skeen

    i checked with Scottrade and they don’t have any CHC shares available to reserve.

    What are you all using to reserve?

  • Ross

    I was able to reserve 500 of CHC this morning on my TOS account.

  • bestdeception

    Have been away from the computer most all day, but put a stop in NOBL this AM at 5.50. Got stopped out, for a smooth $380 profit. And I only had a partial filled order yesterday. Timmy, we totally Syked out all those freaking bagholders!!

  • bigjimstradingpost

    Well just got back from the poker game…made $500 there… ZOLT kicked tail for me today..up $700 on the day and still holding.
    FLWS didn’t hold $7 but damn…what will it do Monday??? I’m still short 3000 shares… Let’s pray the market tanks on Monday and drags it down with it.

    Great weekend to you all..

    Big Jim

  • bizcboy13

    cmon guys stop buyin 100 shares buy 1000.. if u cant afford that u shouldnt be trading!!!

  • das317

    Ended up covering my short on ILE at 1.33. Shorted at 1.57 the day before. Was hoping to hear some feedback as to thoughts on what it might do, but made the call on taking my $700 profit and moving on. It broke down, but didn’t come crashing down. I’d still be interested on any thoughts as to which way this might move next.

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    congrats das, good patience….who cares what i does next, u took solid profits, now it should be dead to u

  • Ross

    Hey Bizcboy,

    That is not what Tim is teaching us and your statement comes across as a little arrogant IMO. I don’t have the money to buy a 1,000 shares unless I want to put all my money into one trade. Tim doesn’t recommend that so I am following his rules. I am taking baby steps while learning and building my confidence up.

  • matty84

    Ross don’t pay attention to him, he was in Mike13th’s room once and got kicked out…it’s a 13 year old kid, no joke.