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A Short Sellers Wet Dream: Strength, Strength Everywhere

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TIM $14,124 (up $56 on the day)

Niiiice Market Today, Strength May Be The Precursor To Many Potential Shorts

BIDZ —turned out to be more of a letdown than the classic I was expecting, like most sequels these days. Around mid-day,
http://www.stocklemon.com/”>Stocklemon.com
(whose website sometimes shuts down for hours at a time, not very confidence inspiring) followed up their beautiful indictment of the company with a half-hearted attempt that detailed how one of BIDZ founders blah blah—nothing really as great as the first, probly as a result of some lawyers breathing down their neck. Sad, really.

The stock opened down at $10, spiked to $11, tanked to $9 and flatlined around $9.50 all morning long. TIM bought 300 shares at $9.88 right after noon because the sellers were looking tired and I thought there was a chance at a short squeeze (especially since Stock Lemon still hadn’t released their second report and, more importantly, because if the stock took out $10.12 (the high from the 11am spike), shorts would really get scared and their panic buying would push the stock up another 30 cents or so). I entered early because the spreads were rough (7-12 cents at all times) and I knew this stock would move fast so there wouldn’t be much to gain on the breakout of $10.12 (since the opening spike created resistance in the $10.60 range).

I was right on the money and sold my 300 shares at $10.34 for a nice $135 gain (after risking 21% of TIM assets) within 10 minutes. Sure, the stock went higher—especially after the Stock Lemon report disappointed (I wanted to buy the $10.60 breakout around 2pm, but I don’t like buying (first of all) and I especially don’t like buying stocks that are down on the day (since the rally usually fails when the stock tries to go positive—which this one did perfectly, offering up a good short in the $11.50 range, but then again there’s no shares available to short!))—but I wasn’t disappointed that I didn’t hold for larger gains because this is too unpredictable a situation. I took my ½ point and I got outta there. Decent trade.

We’ll see how it acts tomorrow, I highly doubt there will be any good setups unless it cracks $12.

ASHW —still holding my 700 shares short. Aside from a few intraday and spikes at the market close (probly some worried shorts), this one acted nicely (given that it was down a penny or so most of the day in the face of a strong market) today. I kinda hope it displays more strength so I can add to my position (I’ll only double down by averaging up, no need to add here and risk it surging in my face)

Lots of Chinese spikers today, JRJC, CHNR, GBT, many more—all could be good potential shorts soon (hopefully not too soon—let’s get a little room between their bottoms and where I’m gonna short them!)

QLTI —a nice one with a perfectly bearish chart, up 24% on news the company wants to sell out to help shareholders (and themselves), aka we’re tired of working so hard and watching our stock drop steadily, we cry, “uncle, uncle!” Could be a good short if it continues to bounce

LTON —up 34% on earnings / investment from large media company, very little volatility for most of the day, it’s on my watchlist, but I doubt I’ll play it.

VRGY —up 28% on strong earnings, put on watchlist, doubt I’ll play unless it cracks $30

BCST —video compression technology maker keeps surging, up 22%, not sure how to play this one, on watchlist

BECN —up 20% on strong earnings, perfectly bearish chart, could be a bottom, dangerous short

FSYS , CTCT , ACLI , MTH , KERX , BLG —more perfectly bearish charts, potential bottoms/shorts (gotta wait to see how they act to determine whether to be long or short biased—yes, I have no bias, I’ll let the price action determine my bias)

TIM has a position in ASHW, that’s it

Posted in Short Selling

  • krakken

    i’m still short miti…just about recovered my losses from FOUR…yeesh!

  • notesguy88

    Nothing exciting for today. Guess I’ll just focus on work and keep an eye on BTIM.

  • Ross

    Mornin

  • benchrn

    morning eveyrone

  • Rastabadboy

    Wish I had gone long on FRE 3 days ago. haha.

  • TheParadox

    good morning to you too

    Hey fellas, sorry i disappeared kinda out yesterday, was kinda a busy day and i got stuff to do today and i have to leave MITI open while I’m gone. I thought about setting a stop lose at 6.50, but these jerk offs would have triggered it this morning with the after hours bid up. A little nervous i must say. Any case, i thought today’s room should be

    #ETFsAreStupid as i have an IRA that is declining (composed entirely of ETFs) and my penny stock account has made more in the past 3 weeks as the account lost over they year. ETFs are gay.

    on moznet/Mozilla.org

    I’ll be back after

  • YoungGunz

    btim starting off strong. RHD looking to turn sideways today could crack in the afternoon.

  • notesguy88

    Big bounce for MITI this morning.

  • http://traderboob.blogspot.com boob

    anybody watching IPII?

  • prognesubis

    IPII, held it for a month. Good time to get out.

  • notesguy88

    We’re watching IPII. TOS has no shares available to borrow though.

  • prognesubis

    IPII, potential short?

  • AdamN

    Sold BTIM for a small loss from yesterday. Looks like a gap and crap.

  • YoungGunz

    Yeah it’s run up nicely today. I am actually hoping for it to hold strong till tomorrow. if it shows weakness in the afternoon it could get pounced on my shorts that have borrowed early. still it is up 70+ cents so far today so hoping for its first down day thursday or friday.

  • YoungGunz

    Yeah if you’re long IPII I’d be getting ready to get the hell out. This thing is going to fall hard when it does.

  • YoungGunz

    now as i say that its starting to reverse.

  • http://traderboob.blogspot.com boob

    I just covered IPII for a small gain. I think it could be still too early to short. the spread is horrendous. The last thing I want is a short squeeze

  • Getshorty

    MITI looks like a dead cat bounce, couldn’t take 6.84 (yesterday’s open) longs, reconsidering.

    I shorted 500 extranshares at an average of 6.62 once it couldn’t break resistance.

    MOmentum has now swinged back. Should close on the red

  • Getshorty

    And MITI is red for the day..

  • tamimkhan

    Shorted miti today at 6.70 looking for exit point..HELP!!!

  • http://www.txtwire.com jharding

    Whats your take on MITI today?

  • notesguy88

    Bounced back a bit and it’s barely green right now. MITI having a hard time cracking 6.25.

  • rassoodock

    Just hopped out of MITI although it seems likely break support at 6.25, it could also bounce back up. Shorted from 6.6 to 6.3 twice (total shares 700, total profit, $185). Not risking a ton on this stock..

  • http://www.heyidea.com Sweeney

    VPHM 52wk hi..

  • YoungGunz

    nice bounce play guys on MITI. Down to 6.25 and its sucking fumes for volume.

    So what do the candlesticks say about IPII?

  • YoungGunz

    as for exits on MITI if you’re looking to take the solid profit it’s probably good to go now. Just my opinion do your own DD :) wow sound like a stock promoter.

  • Getshorty

    Since chartin has been called tarot reading in yahoo message boards, let me better call Zoltan.

    Zoltan says: pray for a few more days up on IPII, then you get a perfect short
    Zoltan says:If it breaks down 3.2 today may be a short as well, just not as good as if it runs up for more days.
    Zoltan says: beware of illiquidity, crazy spread in the morning

    Zoltan has spoken

  • notesguy88

    The MITI yahoo message board is funny. LOL I’m having a blast reading Paradox’s posts and the responses he’s getting.

  • Getshorty

    Wow GUnz, that rally sound like a stock promoter.

    Whats the next big thing ???!!!!

    Have you heard about that solar bike company??
    Or about that one that makes condoms for dogs??!!!
    Canine Contraception is going mainstream !!!!

    Jokes aside, it may be a good idea to take profits in MITI if you are impatient.

    I am waiting for this one to take the 6.20 support. Anybody got some spare change to take those 6.20 bids out?.

    Oops… they are gone

  • Getshorty

    MITI can take 6 anyitim now…

  • Getshorty

    Don’t you like mine, carlosariasv there.

  • notesguy88

    ah so you’re carlos arias lol you guys are great over there! It’s very amusing. lol

  • yaktipper

    Very close to 6 briefly! Not quite there……

  • dnovembre

    What are your thoughts on RHD? It seems to be leveling off today. Is it getting ready for a retreat?

  • Getshorty

    RHD seemed to break down at 3.16, so I shorted some at a terrible entry of 3.18, now is sideways again. wait for a clear crack.

  • kelvin

    where’s the chat room are you guys on again ?

  • yaktipper

    RHD volume seems strong still, don’t you want it to fade more first. Today looks like just another step up, like the last 5 days, unless I’m missing something.

  • Getshorty

    You are right yak, I rushed to short to a fake out break

  • YoungGunz

    hindsight 20/20 it is another day of the same thing. it is a lot weaker today then previous 5 thought. when he shorted at 3.18 it didn’t look like it was going to be another green day the patter was flat but not quite red.

  • YoungGunz

    RHD is also only up 1.40 in 5 days its a pretty slow mover that seems to be getting slow and slower. by the time it does reverse I doubt the volume will be there.

  • ddopps

    was long on rhd – got out this morning with a little profit from this mornings upside.

  • dnovembre

    Things sure do happen fast! one minute fading, the next minute 5% up!

  • KetchupThief

    I had a nice day w/ IPII today. I had 2 4-5% shorts. Up around 8%. Thanks for the help guys.

  • Getshorty

    Volume on IPII is picking up, 6k shares monday, 80k shares Tuesday, and 185k shares today, this thing may keep running for a bit, looks like a great short on its first down day, not like the RHD snail.

  • YoungGunz

    Hey paradox chill i really was only messing with you. :) ~

  • Mark

    Tim, What do you think of MITI at this point? Is there a 50% chance of going up or down, or would you be willing to short it again at this point? Anybody else feel free to chime in.