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7 Sykes Breakout Picks

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Ah yes, even in a choppy market, some stocks are breaking out. They are to be congratulated and some even bought, for if they can break out to new highs with all this negativity surrounding them, imagine how they’ll perform if and when the market outlook brightens.

InterContinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE), the $12.2 billion electronic commodity market broke out to a new all-time high at $175.48. Over the past year, the stock had tried to break $170 twice and failed to hold…will the third time be the charm? Earnings estimates have been on the rise so so earnings today are key. Last time the stock had a solid breakout in the $85 range, it doubled within 4 months…

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Lawson Software, Inc. (LWSN), the $1.9 billion provider of business application software, also just broke out to a 3-year high, although not an all-time high at $10.69. Quarterly and annual revenue growth clocks in at a boring 9% so with a forward PE of 20, this looks expensive. But, you gotta respect the technical breakout!

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Pharmaceutical Product Development Inc. (PPDI), a $4.8 billion provider of contract drug-development research, broke out of a 2-year base to make an all-time high at $40.47. This latest price surge was after earnings—a great sign that the numbers inspired many buyers—where quarterly revenues rose 14% to $357 million, beating estimates of $344. Head’s up: Last time this stock broke out to new highs at $20 in late 2004, it doubled within the next year. But now forward PE is already 24 so they gotta up their growth is they want to up their stock.

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Parker Hannfin (PH), a $13.7 billion motion control systems for the industrial and aerospace markets, made a new all-time high at $78.61. Earnings estimates, like their stock price, have been on fire, but with a forward PE of 14 and only 7% revenue growth, it looks fully valued here. But, if you’re like me and you choose technicals over fundamentals, let the good times roll!

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Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste SA de CV (ASR), a $1.7 billion Mexican airport operator with too many letters in their company name, made a new all-time high at $57.22, continuing it’s nearly 500% runup over the past few years. They just announced September traffic was up nearly 14% over 2006, right in line with their overall revenue growth, but under performing since the stock trades with a forward PE of 21. No matter, Viva la Chart!

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Intricon Corp. (IIN), a $68 million designer, developer, manufacturer and distributor of body-worn medical and electronics devices, broke out to multi-year highs to close at $12. Strong earnings seemed to be the cause as quarterly revenues surged 48% to $18.4 million and they even managed to make a few hundred grand (apparently it’s a tough business!) The stock has tripled this year and it’s approaching all-time highs in the $13 area so I’d wait for it to prove it can break out to an all-time high before buying.

AuthenTec, Inc. (AUTH), a $383 million provider of fingerprint sensors and solutions, has only been publicly traded for a few months, but broke out to a new high at $14.70 before finishing down slightly at $14.37. I wrote an article for TheStreet.com about how hot sensor technologies are and this play is no different. It’s early in the game, but if it can breach $15, I’m buying.

Disclosure: Timothy Sykes has no positions

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  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    i hope u peeps who were absurdly buying FNM and FRE yesterday either got out or have gotten burned baaaadly. either way, u better remember/learn not to buy falling knives! ever…..see my comment from yesterday:

    “just checking in, i dont see any other plays other than FNM and FRE and they surely arent pennystocking

  • das317

    well i bought fre at 8.10 yesterday and yes got burned..sold this morning at 4.57. thanks for the good wishes! hopefully my buys of pdo, fpp, royl and tgc will way more than offset that loss with oil up another 4+.

  • Goose
  • chas

    getg breaking down

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    LOL PDO is pathetic, hope u sold das…nothing’s working well in this market!

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    friggin SUF breaking down too quickly…guess with the popularity of TIMalerts, i just gotta short sooner…u bastards!

  • PCola

    No no no SUF, you’re going the wrong way! You’re supposed to go UP a bunch more first!

  • jonescade

    posted about shorting at 3.75 and got talked out of it….damn!

  • jonescade

    oops, shorting dtg

  • dude75

    LOL @ FRE & FNM. If I don’t laugh I’ll cry (I’m a homebuilder, I know what this is gonna’ do)

  • JeffMoates

    TDA has a ton of shares of SUF to short. I just shorted at 2.45 and covered at 2.40, 2.42, and 2.45. Now, you may say, why do that for a measley .02-.05 gain, well, on 5000 shares, I made an easy $100 in 2 minutes.

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    anybody hold GIGM this long to take your $1/share profits?

  • JeffMoates

    Got another 8000 shares short at 2.70, squeeze motha f$#&er SQUEEEEEEZE!!!

  • seattle_guy

    Had GIGM short, but covered too soon. Got 30c..it’s a leaky bucket and your good point on it being a real company made me cover.

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    too funny, on my free site, i’m debating with a guy who says that DTPI “Just because there was an earnings report out doesn

  • Goose

    PDO – going….
    SUF – nice one guys.. i wanted to short but no shares

    DTG – someone said they are shorting. Can you provide your reason? It “could” be a potetial buyout…I am not sure.

  • JeffMoates

    LOL, Tim, you think SUF will do the A-typical friday afternoon short squeeze after losing 16% of its value this morning?

  • JeffMoates

    By the way Tim, have you noticed that on the last three watch lists you have posted with a “Number 1 Short of the day”, each of those picks have falled immediately after the market open rather than spiking and then fading?

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    yes jeff i did notice that…bastard people here shorting early cuz they know i have the dark gift :)

  • PCola

    yeah Tim, quit focussing on one, just throw them all out there and let people who understand your methods decide which one is best. If people burn themselves a couple of times by picking the wrong ones and shorting too early they’ll learn to be patient.
    :)

  • GT4NE1

    In FRE @ 5.06, out at 5.84. I think I might be getting the hang of this stuff after a rough start. Learned a new rule. I don’t trust my mental stops, so trailing stops work much better for me. :)

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes
  • JeffMoates

    I called the Damn SUF short squeeze and didn’t get in on it!!! ARGHHH!!!

  • http://nicholaspepera.com BRICKHOUSE

    Hey Tim. I was watching IDAE but didn’t buy because of volume concerns, looked too low and I though you always said to look for high volume/liquidity?

  • http://www.test.timothysykes.com timothysykes

    yes i like to focus on stocks in play, but this is a longer term buy/breakout…last time it went from 1.4 to 2.20 in 3 days so i want $3+…i better be right cuz exiting this thing is gonna be a bitch!

  • http://nicholaspepera.com BRICKHOUSE

    Cool thanks! BTW I was able to pull a nice $107 profit out of the pump news on HYGS this morning!!! That is one of your favorite turds (as you put it)!

  • Steven

    Mr. Tim, I missed my first first alert on IDAE, do you still recommend it (2.35 now). Also, I had a couple other alerst this morn that I set for myself. UCBH + ALTH. If I were to go long on one of these three today, which one in your opinion?

  • soldtoyou

    getg